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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
1. Observe the skill set of the Shanghai and Shenzhen each day for 4 hours, remove the head and tail half-hour late for the opening and the time, the remaining three hours are the intraday time. In this 3 hours in, but also fighting against brain can be divided into long-short, long-short run-off and long-short enhanced three stages.
1. Straddle fighting against brain. If the opening is only a prelude, then the stock market opened on the 1st, then the disk is a long-short the two sides formally fighting hand to hand start. Index, the frequency of high volatility, it indicates that the more intense long-short mutual struggle. If the index, stock prices a long time in parallel, it indicates that the two sides out of long-short wait, do not intend to go on fighting. Straddle the victory of the parties to rely on its own strength (financial, confidence, skills), we must also consider the message and popularity to two factors.
2. Straddle decisive. Straddle the two sides after intense fighting it out, this time has been at loggerheads to break the deadlock, market trend noticeable tilt. If the multi-party dominant, then gradually push up; if the short side dominant, is deteriorating. Dominant side will follow up the victory to build on this, the other saw the hopeless situation significantly decreased resistance. At this point, is often the best time out. Late, and Change and unpredictable, full of risk; late, lost opportunity, regret. Long-short run-off from the following elements.
(1) indicator stocks. Index-related stocks strong, broad market no reason to drop; index stocks sagged and the inevitable sinking broader market. Long index stock index stock reduced to short, then the big Pandie quicker. Therefore, indicators of long-short history of the two sides compete for shares of the focus. Such as the January 7, 1997 Lujiazui Open Jibei 23.00 RMB short side hit the broader market decline followed. Afternoon, and the parties will be Lujiazui pulled high price of 23.98 yuan to drive broad market up, Yao City received red.
(2) Change Number. Pudie broader market, stocks soaring is writing on the wall, for market trend in more harm than good. The performance of individual stocks to form a sharp contrast with the broader market, funding is too focused on individual stocks, so that tape loss of blood, resulting in a vicious cycle. Up more than at home or at home, and the distribution of average, up at home potential minority, can take advantage of the short side without gaps to close index rose, whereas the short side dominant, and eventually became decline. Change Number of observations, identify the best long-short power an hour before closing time, namely: long-short run-off later. Pre-long-short intense fighting it, Change conversion frequent reference of limited value.
(3) fluctuations in the number. Index fluctuation amplitude large number more are in the declines in the instructions tend to rise, is illustrated in the rally tends to decrease. Under normal circumstances, a trading day, there are more than seven times greater volatility, then there is an opportunity to reverse.
3. Long-short enhanced. Will be 14:30 before the emergence of the highest and lowest intraday point delineate and whichever is the middle value of the standard, if the time index value and the highest point in the middle of the middle, then the rally will be further strengthened, Yao City is expected to high-income. If the time index value and the lowest in the middle between the too often lead to late to kill.
Long-short was also seen to strengthen the final stage, after the two sides fighting a long-short, the situation is clear, the disc does not appear the strong stronger and the weak weaker situation.
2. Observe the skill late
Onchocerca is a summary of long-short day fighting it out, so closing index and the closing price of the market traditionally has attracted much attention. Opening is a prelude to disk is a process, closing is the conclusion. The importance of late is that it is a past and a special place that is able to recall the former Urban, but also predictive.
Yao City received red, and under the shadow of long lines, this is after the bottom was supported by a rebound may consider follow-up the next day to open a high majority. Bought at the last minute to avoid the risk that day.
尾市income black, the shadow of long lines, heavy pressure on the file would be appropriate to trim, the next day opened low probability greater.
Yao City released massive rally, this time not to intervene, opening the next day you may encounter a sell-off, so not easy to rise. Yao City released massive sell-off, is due to panic selling is a broad market gapped down to the signal.
Decline in the late slightly longer than usual, a slight rally in the late fall, this is late amendment will not have any practical significance.
The two sides are close to the long-short index, fierce price competition, subject to the special emphasis on two points:
First, beware of agencies big lie by the technical indicators line, temporary closing deliberately raised the (suppressed) closing stock index, stock price, the next day Tiaokonggaokai (low opening), raised the ship to reach the next day (keep the prices down into the cargo) aims to . Identification method, with a look at whether the large volume, high-close (low closing), if the volume is too small, multiple (empty) side without force, excessive turnover, multiple (empty) side ship (into the goods), are the trap. 2 to see whether the benefits more (bad) news, talk with, to analyze the authenticity of the rumors. Combination of large volume, the bull (empty) messages can be initially identified as long (short), may consider buying (selling) shares. However, in order to prevent fooled, and neither to full houses, do not short positions.
Second, the Monday effect and effect Friday. Monday closing stock, the stock closed or Yin Xian Yang Xian, a greater impact on the whole trading week, as many (empty) side won the first battle, often win the number of connections root Yang Xian (Yin Xian), should be vigilant. Friday closing stock index, stock prices is also very important, as it not only reflects the long-short day of victory or defeat, the negative to reflect the outcome of the week of the long-short.
3. Master's analysis of external disk tray method to find the dealer Trends
3 is called buying selling time-sharing plan in a dynamic buying and selling on the upper right shows an indicator, showing three of the buying price of the volume and the number of 3-priced selling.
If investors sell the stock 100 in hand and hope that soon the transaction, can be sold to buy a stock price of 100 hands, will be able to deal as soon as possible. This kind of low price is called the purchase price of the stock traded volume accounted for as trays, that is, the selling initiative reflects the commitment of investors to sell stocks. If investors are not optimistic about the market outlook, in order to ensure a certain deal to sell the stock, ahead of others in front of sold shares, you can buy two, buy three of the prices or to sell the stock at lower prices declarations. These declarations should be included within the disk, so the greater the number of accumulated within the disk (and the outer disk compared to), indicating that the more proactive selling, investors do not optimistic and therefore the greater the likelihood the stock continued to fall.
If investors want to buy stocks on hand and to ensure that 100 transactions, can be sold a price of 100 hand-declarations to buy shares, that can be traded immediately. This kind of high-price selling price of the stock traded volume accounted for as external disk, that is, pay initiative. If investors are optimistic about the market outlook, not buy stock, you can sell 2, sell 3 or even higher prices to buy shares declarations, this initiative a high volume of transactions to selling price, reflecting investors actively buying stocks determined. So it is usually outside the disk, the greater the accumulation of the number (and inner disk in comparison), indicating that the more proactive buying, investors optimistic and therefore the greater the likelihood the stock continue to rise.
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Through the outer plate, inner plate number of the size and proportion, investors may find that the initiative is usually more than buying or selling more proactive, and in many cases can be found Makers trends, is a more effective short-term indicators.But investors in the use of outer disk and inner disk, we should note that with stock prices low, medium, and high level of turnover as well as the total volume of the unit. Because of the disk, the number of trays are not valid at all times, in many cases outside the large plate, the stock does not necessarily rise; trays large stock does not necessarily fall.
Makers can use the outer plate, the number of trays to be deceptive. In a lot of practice, we find the following:
1, the stock after a longer period of time the number of waves falling stock prices at a low price, trading volume are withering. Since then, the volume moderate contribution, the date of increase in the number outside the plate, greater than the number of trays, the stock will likely rise, this situation could be * more.
2, in the stock after a longer period of time the number of waves increases, stock prices at a high price, high volume is not longer continue to increase, the day the number of amplification within the disk is larger than the number of outer plate, stock prices will likely continue to decline.
3, in the stock Yindie process, often will find outside the big plate, inner plate small, this situation does not mean that stock prices will rise. Because some of the time making a single throw with a few strokes to play the stock price to a lower position, and then sell one, sell two hang sell orders, and he bought his sell orders, causing a temporary stock price sideways or slightly up sequentially. At this time will be significantly larger than the outer disk trays, so that investors believe that eating goods makers, but have to buy a result, stock prices continued to fall the next day.
4, the stock rose the process, often within a plate will find large, outside the plate is small, this situation does not mean that stock prices will fall. Because sometimes the dealer will pay for shares with a few strokes pulled to a relatively high, then the stock was down after buying one, buy two hanging foot the bill, some who believe that stock prices will fall, have called the purchase price in order to sell the stock, but the Makers step for lodging will be picked up by throwing a single them altogether. After that first raised the pay for low-hanging way, often appear within the disk large, outside the plate is small, to achieve the purpose of deceiving investors, until the next chip quickly enough to continue to push prices higher.
5, the stock had risen a larger gains, such as a certain day a significant increase in external disk, but the stock does not rise, investors must be vigilant Makers illusive, ready to ship.
6, when the share price has fallen a larger extent, such as a few days a significant increase in plate, but the stock did not fall, investors should guard against making create a false impression, false to suppress true food goods.
Making use of three commonly used is called buying selling deception include:
1, the stock has been suppressed to a lower price, is selling one, sell two, selling three hung massive cast list, messengers that much selling pressure, so the price of buying a stock to sell in advance, the actual makers in the dark Xihuo until the chips then full and then suddenly removed a single massive throw the stock rose sharply.
2, the stock rose to a higher position in the buy one, buy two, buy three hung massive pay, so investors should continue to develop, have to sell a price to buy the stock, the actual makers are quietly shipping out to be a bargaining chip or less, suddenly removed massive pay and began full range of short selling, stock prices fell rapidly
4. Police opened the techniques
Open is the beginning of a trading day is also the broader market trend in the tone of the day, unless the large bullish or bad news, otherwise, the day usually does not occur within the high-intensity shock and a large proportion of antagonistic direction.
1. Call auction. Such as the Shanghai stock market's 9:15 to 9:30 is divided into a collection of auction time, call auction is about the correct price according to supply and demand can be initially reflected in the price situation and the large amount of access to dynamic.
(1) opened immediately after the necessary inquiries, commissioned and commissioned to sell amount in mind to buy amount in mind the amount of tape will be judged more or walk away empty. In general, if an opening is greater than sell orders pay up to two times more (such as pay 100,000, selling single-50000), showed a very strong buying; the other hand, if sell orders than buy orders for more than 2 times, then sell on behalf of the short side Disk very strong.
(2) The number of sheets of each purchase and the amount in mind and the ratio of 8.0 or above, on behalf of a large buy, if several consecutive large ratio of more than 8 times the emergence of a strong desire on behalf of big stock market; the other hand, such as selling more than 8.0 alone, can be thrown in the holding speed.
Call auction is a tape of the rehearsal the day away, the relationship between price changes and large amount of movement is evident from this access, which has important reference value.
2. The amendment opened. 9:30 to 10 am for the amendment opened. Substantially higher if there are certain extent open pulled back sharply lower increase would be appropriate. After the tape had been amended in accordance with their respective re-run trend. As the artificial lift and pressure factors, opening index and stock price have some of the bubble, this time entering the risk is very large, have to wait until the amendment opened, eliminating blind spots disk before they can see the market's true situation. Once opened signs of polarization and the delay in the amendment, you can immediately confirm the strength and closing Change broader market trends.
3. Opening three lines. Open three-wire refers to the stage after the opening bell three times the index line position. If 10 minutes for a unit, then the disk Change as follows:
Open three line 9:40, 9:50 and 10, remains at the open swim parallel to line side, and a wave of high-Bobby, in order to rally disk. Open three-line all the way down, and always at the bottom of parallel lines and parallel lines and widening the distance, this is no doubt decline.
Open three-line there are some not very obvious trend must also pay attention. Such as the opening three-lane two-down and click two still trend rally, while opening a three-line or two under on the next two, while in trend decline, operators are advised to closely monitor the opening three-line change, flexibility, timely make accurate judgments.
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