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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
The stock's gains, the correction or a decline in the late afternoon, followed by the opening day of the result may be very different. The insight into the opportunities of this subtle change in Yao City, you are generally short-term investors to dream of winning magic, but in this case to determine the most important is the stock price based on the 10-day moving average of the overall state of operation.
(1) rally (when 10 share price moving average trend line showed up hours)
Increase in volume in late rising values: In the late rally in the amount of price increasing, it is popular to fully accumulate sign that investors are still bullish on the market after the development, then the second one-day stock price would remain high drive to open out is likely.
Late incremental price reduction: this situation, culminating in the rally in the multi-stage phenomenon of reluctant sellers. Times a trading day, stock prices generally make more use of Tiaokonggaokai mainly Yao City yesterday, investors did not buy, most people will fill buy a high priced chase. However, because the stock has not been fully changed hands, high-opened after the disc would often due to an increase in profit, selling at the same time gradually increased, sub-K-1 trading day with the on-line forms on the multi-influence lines.
Plunge in a large quantity of late: If you are not a huge stage in the rise, there massive Zhang Yin K-line form, then a late plunge in a large quantity of this apparent phenomenon, mostly Kong Pan Yao City for the use of the main banker to raise the Qing Xi Pan . Times a day is often the price will be flat plate or dish out high, but the situation on the premise that killing turnover late in the day in a certain principle should be too large.
(B) correction in the (when 10 share price moving average was unchanged trend is time)
Prices increasing, the amount of late: In the consolidation phase of the end of long-short sides for a long time after the main battle, and finally the main efforts of a multi-gain the upper hand. Disk at this time launched a sudden attack, then the share price is often times a trading day will be flat plate or dish out high.
Increase in volume in late fall in price: In the consolidation trend in the late afternoon, the emergence rate of reduction of the phenomenon of increase in volume, indicating long-short two main confrontation in the evenly matched, multi-backup and the main due to loss of confidence in the short side, while the main force of the momentum to prevail , the outcome has been the beginning of see the outcome. Disk at this time launched a sudden attack, sub-1 stock trading day tend to flat plate or dish out low, and most of the main counter-attack because of inability to multi-party and eventually into the Pandie stage.
Off before the price increasing, the amount of: In the consolidation trend, the stock will soon encounter barriers, a large number of late acute if a sudden pull, then the second trading day a stock is washed off more than a high-style dish out, but due to the main dealer and do not want to or do not have the upside of the strength of merely engaging in a surprise attack with Yao City, creating the illusion of a break up, luring outside investors chase to see more is a good chance to ship their own clearance. Therefore, the formation of Gaokaidizou extremely easy to fake break back to finishing end.
(C) drop in (on the 10th when the stock price moving average downward trend in hours)
The amount of reduction in late fall in price: In the fall, a late or the amount of shrinkage phenomenon, indicating that no one is willing to take buying orders, selling pressure will be transferred to a second one trading day opened, causing second day due to selling price The rush to dispose of in order to lower disc out.
Prices increasing, the amount of late: In the fall, the late emergence of the phenomenon of prices increasing, the amount, K-line graphic patterns generally Zhu will leave under the shadow line, plate movements, there are two possibilities: (1) RSI is not at low income in the yin and the K-line, due to the involvement of short-term funds, while the rebound opportunities. But the second one trading day if the price is always below the flat walk, it may be making use of Yao City lift the main lure more in order to drive down the next day shipping, which is broad market gapped down to the signal. (2) RSI is low and the K-line narrow Yin Xiao-yang, if the price increasing, the amount of time to meet the emerging opportunities are in the low 6, RSI, then the second one trading day are mostly set out by the high and triggered a rebound in trend.
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(D) Special conditions
Late the trend of acute pull among the corrective rebound began to appear near the time of closing but was thrown down to the lowest points at close, indicating the short side, still dominate the main advantage of such a trend in the sub-1 trading day Shares will be flat plate or a low disk out, and the second one-day price movements are easy or difficult to rise to.
Has become apparent before the late rally, but late in the final 10 minutes began to grab plates, substantially larger volume and promote the stock prices, this situation is generally more speculative short-term customer involvement chase, right times a day the trend is not very favorable. Second one trading day after share prices opened higher, because the existence of short-term profit pressure plate, if you can not digest this part of the selling, rally is difficult to maintain, after the sell-off in high-opening generally would quickly emerge.
Volume Price Limit Under Section
There have been many stock market investors proverb in the vast spread, for example, "what can the stock market fraud, only the volume curtain alone is real," and "only volume is built out of real money," "days the amount of high price, in the amount of land, "etc., in the above section II of" a huge amount of meaning "where we first saw some of the main banker Kongpan use on inverted right way to beat a fraud, deception, induced large off-site investors to enter the trap in its pre-set a good example.
Particularly in the Price Limit of the stock market system is implemented, for subtle changes in volume between the intentions that we need to distinguish carefully, comprehend, and will not go astray.
Price Limit system as a new system after the implementation of, I have the ever-changing stock market, the more turbulent and colorful. Traditional technical analysis suffered a serious challenge, while K-line graphic patterns become very difficult to grasp. The role of fundamental analysis and therefore are particularly important.
Under normal circumstances, rising values increase in volume, we will consider the case with the price of the amount of good afternoon's rally will continue, and investors can continue to chase or holdings. If the stock price rising, the volume has failed to effectively cope with larger, indicating the vast number of investors chasing the market higher will not be very strong afternoon rally difficult to sustain long-term investors should be properly Qingcang, adjust the position structure.
However, in the Price Limit system, if a stock price board at the daily limit, there is no more in the turnover, it is on the market shows investors a higher target price, to fetch a higher price in the future, which will not be This price could be easily thrown, the purchaser the amount due to selling too low, buying can not buy, why they do not have much turnover. No. 2, hungry investors, the buyer usually on the basis of the original price, plus a substantial chase to buy, thus, stock prices also continue to maintain the momentum for picking up potential, which further stimulated the off-site the psychological desires of investors in general, which led to a stronger rally. However, when there is limit-time, half-way multi-party can not stick to their positions, were forced to open limit-board, and turnover volume amplification signs indicating off investors to join the ranks of the staff to sell a gradual increase in long-short mutual the strength of this starting to happen, some changes, with the short side, increasing the degree of the main short, the stock will gradually start falling.
Under normal circumstances, the rate of reduction is to specify the amount of shrinking the market psychology of investors reluctant sellers, very serious, outside the selling pressure is very light, the market outlook of the stock market as the market development will be determined by the size of the capacity of the main directions. If a fall in price increments of the phenomenon began to appear, then the market investors are bearish on the market outlook Quotes development, most have joined the ranks of the ranks of teams to sell the share price declines will continue to be maintained until the energy of the main short completely released.
However, in the Price Limit system, if the share price appeared lower limit, the buyer usually hopes for investors to continue the second day of sharp decline, be able to buy at lower prices, which will temporarily as a "nothing" of the state . Results in a lack of buying the stock into the circumstances, turnover also appears to be very rare, but the decline in stock prices have continued. In contrast, if the daily limit price above the middle of the power due to the involvement of multi-volume therefore appears to enlarge the phenomenon, indicating a considerable financial strength gradually began to take the initiative to intervene in a planned way, so there will be afternoon Quotes may only or stabilized, the re-emergence of a life.
Based on past experience of actual combat, in the Price Limit system, the stock turnover is shown subtle changes approved so significantly different characteristics:
(1) rose in volume is small, will continue to Zhang Sheng; lower limit of the volume is small, will continue to decline.
(2) rose half-way has been opened the more the number of times longer, and the larger volume, then drop the greater the likelihood Quotes reversal; same token, the lower limit of the half-way has been opened the more the number of times longer, and the turnover The larger, then the greater the likelihood of rising Quotes reversal.
(3) rose earlier closing time, the greater the market outlook fares of strength; lower limit of time to close sooner, the greater the intensity of fall afternoon.
(4) The seal of the buying limit-the number of size and sealed when the daily limit the number of size of the selling power of the size of the buyer and the seller note the extent of this number the greater the probability of continuing the existing trend is the greater the follow-up to the ebb and flow rate are also will be.
However, precisely because of Price Limit System specificity of the above-mentioned points, many of the bookmakers is full use of these to confuse outside the retail investors. In actual operation, if the dealer would like to ship to a huge amount of pay will be the first limit-sealed in order to fully attract the market sentiment. Nature originally wanted to sell the investor would have gained emerged shaken, while other investors will be to chase into the limit-price, but at this moment, the dealer will take the opportunity to withdraw pay, fill sell orders, are naturally very soon will be transferred to the position of the hands of retail investors. When buying on the disk is almost depleted when the dealer will hang in the limit-board pay in order to further lure more manufacturers rush to buy gas the illusion; as retail investors chase again Pops, bookmakers were again routed to foot the bill removed in front, and so repeated operations, which allows chips quietly unknowingly sell high, so as to achieve the purpose of fleeing village out.
With the same token, if the dealer would like to buy chips in order to achieve the purpose of Masukura would be the first to a huge amount of sell orders sealed daily limit in order to fully create the empty side effects of atmosphere, to combat the popularity of the market, prompting investors to off-site sell chips held their own until Xiachu heavy selling, the dealer will first remove the original Guashang Qu quietly sell orders, so that the back line of sell orders routed to the front, then began to buy their own. Thrown outside the spot orders were self-absorbed will do when the dealer will then re-hang out massive lower limit of the daily limit on a single throw, and so repeatedly to operate in order to further increase their own positions.
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In the above circumstances, people have seen the huge sale of a single fact, has only just fiction, far from sufficient to judge the market outlook as part of our trip basis for future development, we are operating in practice, in order to avoid these phenomena to mislead our thinking , resulting in wrong behavior, you must pay close attention to shut up daily limit of subtle changes in the trading of a single state. Must also determine whether there is frequent in which the peg for a single phenomenon, Price Limit how often is opened, and the volume each day between the subtle changes and increase or decrease in volume status and so on, thus to make the right judgments, adjust their own specific operations.
In the Price Limit system, since a major benefit to the sudden appearance of bad news, the stock price so unexpected reasons, the Change accompanied by rapid and there is no volume, so their result is falling, investors are at a high level is stuck, and the fitted range is generally darker; up, the shareholders are basically a profit, and profit levels are generally large, therefore, Ta Kong investors also have a kind of remorse psychology. Therefore, when, after several consecutive daily limit, there are several situations that may arise following:
(1) The shareholders due to the high hold-up, subsequently holding a "dead pigs are not afraid of happy hot" here. The already heavy losses, even if does not sell shares fall any further; even back up a little bit reluctant to sell chips, anyway, has lost money, so market sell-off but has become extremely light up, a little good news, prone to a daily limit on board a strong rebound.
(2) is because of a high level lock-in more chips, which start on the plunge of the price, they will become in the future after the election of a strong rally resistance, the market due to their promotion when crossing this threshold is not easy, Unless there is significant good news, otherwise it is bound to occur due to drop or sideways, in which many time-consuming.
(3) in the general extent, the stock price fall more heavily in stocks, in the future picks up again, here the greater the resistance encountered, the less easy to cross checkpoints to go out.
By the same token, once a few consecutive limit-after, there are several situations that may arise following:
(1) A big city with the market sentiment seething atmosphere of outside investors affected by this effect will normally have a higher desire for profit and therefore the less up to sell more shares, thus forming a kind of boundless Air up the momentum for.
(2) Once the big city, a bad element, since the market shares held by investors at this time the extent profits basically have a very rich, therefore, has a strong sell into power, it is prone to daily limit.
(3) The shares in the general extent, down to the fares of start point and when, are not that easy to strike at the support, the part of the pre-Ta Kong in the normal circumstances, also have admitted bargain-hunting, prompting the stock price picked up a rebound.
Thus, in general, extent, volume up when the daily limit is small, it means that the Quotes of the original trend will continue to develop; volume once to enlarge, then the Quotes of the original trend reversal is imminent. However, the size of the level of stock turnover, and because the size of its stock Liutong Pan into uneven, but different, therefore, when used in practice, we generally use to determine "large amount" of the analytical methods, multi-its somewhere in the size of the stock turnover determined the size of its validity and strength.
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