Category: Money tips Release Date: 2006-03-18
Editor's note: With the approaching Spring Festival holiday, chickens, only the last four years of trading day, a real issue then placed in front of large numbers of investors, it is holding, or Chi Chou Chinese New Year, especially in the pre-holiday Quotes the context of an increasingly hot, the choice of operating strategy has become increasingly important. To this end, from the edition will be released today, "the stock market the end of Raiders" in hopes of giving investors a useful inspiration.
Generally bearish economic outlook this year, against the backdrop of the New Year market trend in the market may be far beyond those expected, and continuous short squeeze Quotes makes investors must consider the strategic options before the holiday.
Quotes background decided to invest in strategies
Quotes of the fundamental driving force is not the current round of economic dimensions of the intrinsic value of improved performance of listed companies last year, the slowdown is a foregone conclusion, the market out of such a strong reason for the trend, the main external forces driving the current results. On the one hand, after 5 consecutive years of decline and institutions overreact to economic cycles, A is significantly lower level of stock valuations. On the other hand, serialization policy is expected to greatly enhance the confidence of the market to do more.
Recently, although the B shares soared to their continuing decline in the valuation of low levels of related, but more incentives for reform may be related to the context of stock, B shares on the disposal of the prospects.
Quotes from the characteristics of the current round of shows that with the end of 2003 of the stock market significantly different. As the market more than 60% of the shares belong to cyclical stocks, the economic upturn in the context of a continuous cycle of stocks do more, is an important condition for the market reversal. Therefore, the turning point has been formed in the current cycle, the economic environment, the cycle of the fundamental unit was unable to build Quotes support, partial plate, turns active theme will be the performance of the main features of the market.
Despite the many positive policy expectations, but some negative factors, the impact can not be ignored. This year's biggest impact may come from share reform after the new from the old, financing, functional recovery may be the release of a large number of short-term financing needs, which has always been afraid of for the financing of acts of the mainland market, can not but be a huge concern.
Quotes background and funding of this mentality is bound to have a major impact Quotes depth. On the one hand, this is the beginning of a number of funds to bet on the end of 1300 an important point of iron stuck bit, a strong desire to sell; other hand, the broader market was up about 30%, the overall valuation levels will reach more than 20 times, once on the low side valuation advantages no longer exist, and many individual stocks also made a significant profit margins agencies to continue to do more overall power greatly reduced. Therefore, if the index points in 1300 before the holiday continued upside for profits realized lighten up the implementation of the larger species should be the main strategy.
Specific operations depends on the fundamentals
Of course, a high degree of caution tape Quotes does not mean that the decreasing opportunities for individual stocks, those who have the ability to avoid the risk cycle, and there is advantage of the stock valuation may be out of the more independent of the stock market. Like G Wanke, although the impact of regulation by the industry, but by virtue of the brand, size, management and market advantages of a very strong ability to resist risks. For such stocks, investors can be more flexible strategy, like to do short-term band can do rallies, holding cash at hand festivals; good at mining the value of the center line may also be holding holiday.
Fine texture of some quasi-operated G Unit G Unit should hold pending resumption of Tianquan effect, while not concerned about the impact of holiday, such as Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, Huaxia Bank and the three-fu and a love of quality stock.
Conceptual market opportunities, strategies should be based holding cash at hand. Since late last year, Sinopec continuous bullish, although the factors are stock reform of the stimulus, but integrated into a subsidiary, the concept of privatization and market rapid increase in suspense, so people will definitely add an element of speculation. Sinopec from the current dynamic performance point of view, valuing the advantages no longer exists, you should consider holding cash at hand festive rallies honored. Of course, holding cash at hand festivals does not mean completely giving up on the stock, stocks, before the introduction of reform programs, if the adjustment is too large, we can consider re-engage. Aluminum integration concept should also consider the same proposal for the disposal of Shandong Aluminum Yinxian callback yesterday, Lanzhou also left a long upper shadow, in the New Year approaches during the lucrative chips will inevitably lead to a strong cash the desire of investors to hold these chips is also necessary to consider the cash holiday strategy.
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