Category: Money Tips Date: 2007-02-15
"The bottom of the heavy volume" has always been considered to be the end price adjustment, new money involved in a signal, often means that stock prices will be gradually strengthened. But recently found that the main advantage of market technical analysis, the majority of investors blindly worship, "opposite", a shift to "anti-technology operations," using the morphology of shipments, tempting, "the bottom of the heavy volume," but formed a set of people's "bull trap."
If Yong Chenggong, on many occasions a "heavy volume at the bottom" phenomenon, for the first time, in January 2005, the share price fell to around 6 yuan, or half of the cases, the volume suddenly enlarge, "Jiashengliangzeng", seems to be "New Village to intervene," but only in the stock price remain around 7 yuan to launch a new round of more than two months will be dropped; the second time, from May to June this year, at 5 worth of "at the bottom of the regional" correction, the sudden release of June 7 the amount of more than 800 million shares, it seems the "bottom of the heavy volume," but shares the next day Tiaokongdikai, start a new one down the third is in the near term, stock prices start at 3 yuan top of the heavy volume to create a platform for Hand 300%, but did not last long, is now below the platform!
Analysis and to determine whether the broad market and individual stocks, "the bottom of the heavy volume," must be a longer time span from the point of view, and must be combined at the time the macro side, the policy side, corporate fundamentals, as well as technical side of the Transmission and Distribution, diluted by factors such as an integrated, comprehensive analysis, not just based on the current share price and trading volume to make a "bottom of the heavy volume" judgments. Especially in the following situations, "the bottom" is in fact the waist:
1, after a large ex later, although the low price, but the recovery was still high above the exercise price, this time a massive amount of release is often making the smoke come out of the upside down, in essence, an attractive bait can not be easily fooled.
2, in the long-term downward trend in the short-term to build a bottom does not mean that stock prices have been "safe landing", it is highly likely to be short-term stock prices rebound after rebound may start a new round of fall, and this was shipped signals Admission is not a signal. To determine the "short end" and the long-term at the bottom of the standard, generally used to test the long-term average, short break is generally not the end of a long-term averages, and long-term can often be able to stand on the bottom of the top of a long-term averages, so that the bottom was solid.
3, the sudden decline in long-term sustainable contribution, significantly larger volume than usual, but the degree of price increases is extremely limited, and even poor market trend, the stock has gone against the tide heavy volume rosy, so that the "bottom of the heavy volume" extremely suspicious.
