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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Source: Beijing in the first place
After a continuous dive panic sell into today's market has finally stabilized welcomed signs of stabilizing, Hu Zhi continue its rapid decline once the market opened, the lowest point of 3400 and even reached the vicinity of bargain-hunting money to bring the best time to approach In this power under the impetus of Hu Zhi attack along the way, the final 3,700-point mark for the firm, all-day volatility, to reach 360 points or so, but from a technical point of view, today's Yangxian only yesterday Yinxian engulfed 30% of show that multi-party offensive strength is not very strong, and although the volume has also been larger, but the Shanghai stock market value has only 1,800 billion yuan, which indicates that there are quite a number of capital market outlook, there is skepticism that this will inevitably lead to market trends complex and volatile, we believe that in a super bull market has not changed the background, when a sharp shock is normal, and it is inevitable, there is no need for a bullish investor pessimism about the development of the psychological, from the short term, Hu Zhi In the 3000 points to 4000 points, a significant reduction in vibration between the probability of large, medium and long term rehabilitation overbought technical indicators, long-term profitability of cleaning chips, in this process, adjusting the position, the adjustment of position change is the investor's most important thing.
Focus 1: Short-term sell into kinetic energy released into the end, the shock down to wait for moving averages.
In the raised stamp duty on securities transactions, the entire market appeared panicky sell into the biggest decline in the short term Huzhi approaching 1000 points, the range of about 25%, a considerable part of the stocks appeared in a continuous limit down, to close today, there are still Some individual stocks closed firmly in the fifth lower limit, and even weight index stocks there have been sharp sell into, such as yesterday's Vanke, Datong-Qinhuangdao railway, reached the lower limit, the ICBC, China Unicom and so close to lower limit, you can said that the whole market is is a kind of panic selling fast-spreading characteristics, as the irrational rise will not last, then the drop in the non-rational will not last, in the continuous sell into, the sell into the end of the release of kinetic energy has been completely , meaning that even the underperformance junk stocks to move closer to the intrinsic value of the process of excessive short-term oversold rally also has very strong power, able to attract a considerable number of wait and see the pursuit of money, which is today the main index shrugged off reasons. Technically, Hu Zhi has relatively poor shape, indicating the probability of significant mid-course adjustments, short-term oversold triggered by a strong rebound to how long, how much space, but also to be seen, we believe that in the near future Huzhi will show a pattern of shock, waiting for the short-term moving average down, and then select the direction.
Focus 2: blue-chip strength and oversold bounce can take off together, individual stocks are still inevitable differentiation.
Today's disk, the Stock Quotes liveness increase again, although there are still more than 40 individual stocks at the lower limit, but the daily limit more than 60 individual stocks, as well as a considerable part of the individual stocks pulled sharply from the lower limit, such as Vanke from the drop% to rose 9%, fluctuating 17%, China Unicom was up 2% from the lower limit to the whole, the general rebound in stocks show that the pattern of high-quality blue chip stocks and oversold underperformance shares take off together, but from the front table or view, we can find Among them, a good performance, the Fund Zhongcang stocks or funds have been favored, such as China Fiberglass, GD Power, Guangzhou Shipyard International and so reached the daily limit, but has a lower limit while the fifth are all very poor fundamentals is purely driven by financial stocks, therefore, we believe that the recent volatility, the stocks will inevitably differentiation, performance, good growth is good, the size of capital funds and other favored stocks will slowly emerge, while the performance is poor, there is no change of the stocks, in the afternoon will continue to move closer to the value.
Focus 3: short medium and long term action to adopt a different strategy to continue to strengthen the long-term bull market strategy.
1000 points, a sharp shock to investors, a great psychological impact can be seen, many investors stuck with the depth or frequently repeated quilt rebound after the market outlook, had a fear and suspicion, but we believe that in the course of the bull market , the investors should be the best operation strategy in the short-and long combined operations in order to fully enjoy the fun of the bull market. First, the bull market holdings mainly to long-term shareholders, we must hold the good fundamentals of individual stocks, are not afraid of shock are not afraid of adjustment, position the focus in this regard; second, midline to do band, grasping hot spots, which requires an accurate judgments and analysis of sector rotation and hot Tazhun rhythm; third, by virtue of the technical characteristics of short-term, to chase sell into operation, but the position must be very low, so that attitude can be maintained at a stable level.