Category: Money tips Release Date: 2006-02-04
Art of War says: Zhiyizhibi before being victorious. Investors in the stock market in order to survive and develop, we must now Zhuang Zhuang we were going, we must find out the dealer's bottom line, the most important of course bookmakers positions and costs. These two is the maker of the top-secret, it is impossible leak, how can we from the K-line diagrams and turnover in the simple calculation of the positions and the dealer cost? After careful analysis and research, some people believe should be used to calculate the turnover rate is accurate.
�formula for calculating the turnover volume divided by the total number of shares outstanding multiplied by 100%. Because we have to calculate Jiancang from the beginning to the beginning of the dealer pulled up the total turnover during the period, therefore, to the weekly chart of the maximum reference value.
�see chart stocks weekly K, Zhou average parameters can be set to 5,10,20, when the weekly average K-line map system was arranged long time, we can prove that a dealer involved in the unit. Only in making a lot of money involved, the individual stocks in the low turnover will continue to enlarge, which is making Jiancang characteristics. It is precisely because of the shortage of chips, so that the gradual rise in stock prices before making weekly average K-line system was arranged long, we have found a dealer can be initially determined.
�both short-term, middle or long-term banker, its Kongpan should be of at least 20% or more, and only 20% of the shares Kongpan was done up, less than 20% unless the big city, very good, otherwise it is not doing village. If Kongpan 20% -40%, and the shares of the most active, but more Fu Chou, up less space, pulled up more difficult; if Kongpan volume of 40% -60%, with an active stock level of better, more space, the extent reached a relatively Kongpan; Kongpan if it is over 60% of the amount of the poor level of activity, but the room is great, and this is definitely Kong Pan, big dark horse mostly produced in this area Kongpan. Why is there such a law? Because a stock turnover of 20% is usually locked immobile, these are the absolute long-term investors. While the remaining 80% of the chips in circulation, only 20% of which is the most active floating chips, if you put 20% of the chips finished the collection on the market seldom Fu Chou, and so can be generally Kong Pan. The last 60% of the chips is relatively stable, if the dealer re-absorption by half, or 30%, then the dealer is a bargaining chip in the hands of 50% of the Kongpan, plus 20% of long-term investors, equivalent to 70% of dealer control chips. In this way, the dealer will be able to control the direction of price movement. It is also used by the majority of bookmakers Kongpan level. If the dealer Kongpan more than 60%, only 20% of the outside Fu Chou. Makers can control the arbitrary price. Investors Yaogen village, it is best with the positions of more than 50% of the village. Of course, the bigger the better positions because the positions increase with the large amount of lanes are proportional relationship.
�In general, stock prices rise, the turnover of bookmakers account for about 30%, while falling 20%, while the higher when the big bang, falling Su Liang, we can initially assume that heavy volume: Su Liang = 2:1, in the period of time, making positions for the (2 × 30%) - (1 × 20%) = 60% -20% = 40%, that is, when turnover increased by 100% and falling turnover also 100%, making the degree of control to raise the results of the early count. However, this calculation is too complicated, we can roughly calculate, during which the overall rate of changing hands at 200% of the time, the dealer may Chichou 40%, then when changing hands when the total rate of 100% can be absorbed by the chips should be (40 %) / (200%) × 100% = 20%.
�We Zhou KD indicators, as well as low-Jin Cha-week low volume at a modest start to enlarge the time to calculate the week you are up to the weekly trading volume for the week add up to the total volume, and then divided by the flow of plate and then multiplied by 100%, that is, the overall rate of changing hands. If changing hands a total rate of 100%, the main force of the positions of 20%, if the overall rate of changing hands at 200%, the dealer's positions 40%, if the overall rate of changing hands at 300%, the dealer's positions 60%, if the overall rate of changing hands is 400%, the makers of positions by 80%. This is based on 100% of each change hands, the dealer may be accumulation of 20% is projected, and so on.
�In general, when the rate reached 200% of the total changing hands, the dealer will speed up the accumulation, Lagaojiancang, because no low-cost chips, which is involved in short-term opportunity, and when changing hands at 300% of the total rate , bookmakers have suction sufficient basic chips, followed by the banker is rapidly pulled or forced Xi Pan, from Handicap to grasp the main intentions and trends, should not blindly and passively into a central line from the short-term, this time, we will refer to Short-term indicators of what KDJ, especially 60 minutes KDJ indicator, if at a high position, can wait until after the intervention to lower targets. Thereby enhancing the utilization of funds and avoid short-term quilt. By calculating the overall rate of changing hands, we can roughly determine the Jiancang and lock the main chip level, so can maximize their own profits, the shortest of. In particular, analysis of new shares to those just listed near accuracy is higher. In peacetime to read the tape, we can follow-up analysis to those in the low turnover of more than 300% of the stocks, and then consolidated its Japanese K Line, volume, and with a number of technical indicators to grasp the best time to intervene, there must be thick newspaper.
�Then, we have to calculate the dealer's cost, we will use the following two methods to estimate: 1. If you use the macro exchange analysis software is the easiest to use Shift + �2 keys can estimate the turnover and cost, this is the most accurate algorithms; 2. In general, the midline Makers Jiancang time about 40-60 days, that is 8-12 weeks, whichever is the average of 10 weeks, from the weekly K-line map, a 10-week average line we can objectively considered to be the main cost of area of this algorithm has a certain margin of error, but will not bias 10%. As a dealer, its Trader stocks rise more than 50%, at least, most of 100%. Generally speaking, a stock Quotes from the wave of the lowest point to the highest point of the increase if it is 100%, then the dealer's normal profit is 40%, we calculated the cost of the main after, and then in the superior price of 150%, that is The minimum target level for the bookmakers, no matter how the road twists and turns, the share price to reach this level sooner or later, if not compelling States to the dealer and will not be a loss as well, making big money, and out of the dilemma, and sometimes, you also throw not go throw ? This is the bookmakers permanent heartache.
�This is what we should be counted out of the dealer's bottom line, we see the banker's cards, they can be targeted in the operation and no longer afraid of making a carrot and stick, to see the stock price up or down, but a dealer with us play psychological games, this has numerous Qiyou the reason?
