Category: Money Tips Date: 2006-07-21
Source: Guangzhou Bandung
Abstract: elephant dance analysis is the main force in this part of the smokescreen, the media and the main complement each other, the main force in the concealment of the real purpose of -------
Game Analysis:
1, the main and policies Game
1) is intended main Jiaxizhenzuo Maiguai: The recent votes of blue chip dance is rendered public opinion was very exciting, but I think this is Maiguai, in Huyou small investors; so the market does not respond, in large blue-chip When dancing, the market simply did not respond to most of the plate, there is no out of the flourishing situation, Who can say that this is normal for it? Agreed that the current public opinion: the rising blue-chip index futures in order to grab the right to speak, in order to escort the ICBC listing, this is only to say the least a fur; and some say that is a value found, then it was found too slow, right? In fact, there are two main real intention, this is political task. First, in order to compete for China's stock market pricing, rather than for what index futures end of the year is the opening up of China's financial market, the deadline for advance layout, preparedness foreign devils trouble, this is the main force's true, but also a political tasks. Second, politics is an important meeting for the country to defend, that is, the CPC held in October 10 at the Sixth Plenary Session 6 This is the second most important political task, to the meeting, it is estimated the state-owned capital will do whatever the layout of the weight indicator stock. However, in defending the targets for the meeting is not to pulled up and profit shares for the purpose of this white elephant to dance along with the investment or the investors must understand. There is also shows that prior to the meeting, the need for a relatively stable market environment; assume broader market did not break a new high, and in early 1757 near the repeated run-in, so that stability index down more suitable for the needs, so in September should be a steady moderate Quotes red in September.
2) the expected layout of the main plate Super: Super can be said has already begun the main layout of the stock market in 2007, then the layout of the main factors that most influence what is it? There are two major factors: one of the factors is the financial liberalization, factor of 2 is the upcoming third plenum. In order to success of this plenary session, to submit a building a harmonious society in China programmatic document, the central decision-making since last year to now, has dispatched dozens of research groups in Europe, the North East Asia, Africa, Latin America īš?different level of development of countries and regions, the destination of choice of these research groups have been targeted, research topic is very rich, are for the central development of a harmonious society programmatic document for reference. Of which is expected to issue the strongest is this: China is widening the gap between urban and rural areas, the District īš?a serious imbalance in the level of development between rich and poor is too large and so on, has given rise to a series of social problems. Medical treatment is difficult, high-tuition īš?landless peasants did not protection, and so severely plagued China's new rural construction. Therefore, the concept of commercial real estate across the urban and rural areas and infrastructure-building concepts and the associated plate may give rise to a super main attention. The conventional medical plate or lighten up a main focus of the next section.
Second, the main financial game
At present the main funds within the game very intense, this information from the Handicap fairly obvious observation, in the broader market blue-chips up stage, the general decline of other species, only imaginary index rose; in blue chips down vote, when the index fell, but of other species greatly increased the level of activity, this seesaw effect explains the main internal differences increase and the market instability. In addition, the blue chips out of a few votes away from other new listings, and the rest are essentially day trips; from analysis of this phenomenon, the major blue-chip on the tape is just part of the pulled in response to index futures and a small position in a political order Jiancang, increasing asset allocation moves, rather than what really pulled. But even if the main city of exploratory Jiancang, it also caused fluctuations in the index, while the official index fluctuations due to the market the main differences between the market outlook shows a little break, and the conditions for reaching a record high at present is not mature, which is the main differences between the key. Therefore, the funds in the Shenzhen and Shanghai municipalities, and in the large blue-chip and other species of their own game is the mainstream in two days.
Third, among the small and medium retail game: At present, the overall market by listed companies is the main trend, it is recommended for high-quality chips to lock
4, disk X-ray
Friday morning on the index is expected to touch 1712 points area, suddenly appear in late fall the probability of a larger diving.
Market Analysis of Multi-cycle resonance point ---
The opportunity to plate is expected to:
Friday is the steel and machinery manufacturing industry is expected to be more active plate.
Market Risk point: the current market capitalization of the overall market and gradually to inject high quality assets in the stock to move closer to prevent the marginalization of shareholders is a priority
Protection measures: It is recommended suitably control the position