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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Open Analysis
First, to confirm the nature of the opening. Compared with the previous close, if it opened higher, indicating strong popularity, grab the psychological chips are more potential there is to the good side of city. However, if too many high-opened, so that those who bought the day before yesterday lucrative, can easily result in excessive profit-taking pressure.
If the high point of opening a few, or only one or so, it indicates that popular quiet, long-short two No on fighting mood. If the lower opening, this indicates that eager to take profits or losses of flesh who can not wait, so there is potential deterioration of city possible. If you suddenly opened higher at the bottom, and by a big margin, is often a fundamental reversal of long-short two sides when the power, therefore, constitute a correction when the contrary, Jiancang purchase opportunity. On the contrary, if the general trend has been rising more sharply when gapped, is often a symbol of multi-forces the last eruption, indicating that the bull market has come to an end, but rather the opportunity to pose a shipment.
Similarly, in the bottom of the sharply lower short of hysteria is often a hit, but the opportunity to pose a bottoming out, and in the top of the popularity of low-hoi is that lax, Jie Yu rushed out to escape, but also look at potential weak municipal performance. Although there was a rebound, but basically the way tumble. While in a large city, half-way up or down the middle or low high-opened open, generally means to continue the existing trend, namely, high and open up good, down low to open when bearish.
Long in order to successfully arrive to eat, after opening the regular session not wait to rush, but bear in order to complete the distribution, will be deliberately pulled, and eventually led to the rapid ascribed after the opening bell, which is a strong market in the common. In the weak market, the bulls in order to eat cheap goods, will be smashed down immediately upon opening, while the short tremble with fear, will be desperate to sell, resulting in the rapid decline after the opening bell. Therefore, after opening the first 10 minutes of market performance will help to correctly judge the nature of the market.
The reason why the two sides attach importance to long-short after opening the first 10 minutes because at this time a small number of investors involved in the transaction, the amount of intraday trading will not have much, so much the amount that can be used to achieve the desired purpose, commonly known as " most cost-harvest big. "
The second 10 minutes is a long-short period of time the two sides into the break, the general will to amend the existing trends, such as the short side to push too vigorous, and long will organize counterattack, bargain-hunting set will be a big step in; such as the multi-attack too hard , bears will be back, disc will actively taking profits. Therefore, this time is to buy or sell a turning point.
Third 10 minutes due to more and more people involved in the transaction, the sale of plate become more real and less fake ingredients, so the credibility of a larger trend of this period is basically laid the foundation for the day into .
In order to correctly grasp the trend of characteristics that can be opened as a starting point to the first index for moving points 10,20,30 minutes, even into three segments, where bread contains information on the future direction of the day.
A. If it is next to a post on the first (ie, erased early gains and then up), then a good day, Quotes increasingly likely, Japan and K-line may not receive Yang Xian. Because it suggests the bull is strong. If the first 30 minutes straight up, it indicates that strong bull trend, the better the market outlook is very likely to close more than 90% probability of Yang Xian, a position in correction opportunities.
Specifically, if the second fall is very small, not lower than the opening value, Quotes should be more optimistic. If the third set up a new high, and the prices even more optimistic, and that day will generally rose a small recovery Yang Xian.
If it fell below the starting up the second point (opening), then that too much pressure on short-day adjustments to the pressure greater, once ascribed to weak, there will be sharply and only at the bottom to be supported, can there be a strong rebound in However, in general less likely to close the day at the highest point.
If the second drop below the opening, while the third rise in the higher than the previous high, this indicates that relatively large differences in long-short day, shock will be larger, but in the end is still likely to Yang Xian at close.
If he took the second fall below the opening, the third one up Quemo high, in particular followed a relatively strong decline, then the front two sides clash in the long-short when the bull is relatively weak, the day's correction will be longer period of time, could not close the highest point, sometimes evolve into a "first before heading off on another down" trend, and then take the light and close out the Yin Xian.
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B. After first under on, if yes then the next, then the day Quotes more likely to go short, especially if it is again following the first, under the next, then that power is very strong short-day rebound in shipments constitute opportunities to decrease the possibility of afternoon is greater. If opened higher income Yinxian probability over 90%.
Specifically, if the third fell a record low, for the characteristics of a typical short-day rebound in general weak. Head formation in the medium to long term, often similar form.
If the second hit a new high rise, and the third did not fall to new lows, it indicates that power still sung long day, there are ascribed to chance, in late may not close at a minimum.
If the second he took up a record high, but the third down unable to record low, and followed up, it indicates that short pressure is great, bulls are still quite a lot that day, after the fall will first ascribed to, but not close to the minimum
If the second one up high, and the third fell again to new lows, it indicates that there will be more shock that day, but the late may be closed at a lower position.
C. If this is the first, and then on again, under the strong influence that long, but bear the pressure is great that day will be supported at the bottom, up opportunity is still large.
However, if the third fall below the opening, this indicates that the power is too strong short day, it would be more deep-bottom, this bottom is generally caused due to profit taking.
If the third fell weak, or even not less than the first one up, then the bull is strong that day, the general market was up a small recycling Yang Xian.
D. If the first, and then on the next then the next, then that short is strong, but the bulls still have spare capacity to counter the same day if the high pressure slightly, and take a greater chance of light, especially if the weakness of the third rise, characteristics will be more evident.
If a third higher than the opening, then pulled shipments of the stock market in general belong to the same day at a high level consolidation after the steep decline may occur.
E. If this is the first on the next and then another the next, then that opened up after the trap was empty that day more likely to go short.
F. If it is on the first, and then again on the next, then that is a long opening down after profit-taking performance may still take a good day, Quotes.
Noon, before the close of the trend is also a long-short the two sides compete for. Noon closure because of the time, investors have more time to review before the city go, analyzing afternoon development, and the more sober or more impulse to make their own investment decisions, so often made use of the main big chance to make a pre-close good for their movement to lure retail investors fooled Dazhong Xiao Guang.
Generally speaking, after the market opened before the close of the movement should be integrated together, rather than in isolation.
If the major city of the morning finishing at a high level, set the day before the close up, then on the one hand that the buyer was relatively strong, the general trend is likely to continue to improve, on the other hand shows that the main may want to create a false impression for the better in order to take the opportunity to ship. How do we judge it? If the former, then opened the afternoon after the impulse buying should be admitted that the general trend should be quickly ascribed to the decline, there is still a good opportunity to, you can use the opportunity to buy, if it is the latter, then opened the afternoon after the index may not do not move, even slowly back, that is, deliberately pulled the main force in order to cover the start of shipments.
If the trend stretching down without rebound bounce again imminent, then the main trend of decline usually not tried to make a false impression intentionally suppressed in the morning before the close, so that the lowest reported income. Opened the afternoon after the noon, after reflection of people determined to sell at a loss less than to be forced to sell, so index still plunge the result is often the last one down, or when the sell-off so relatively small, the main fear has raised not to eat to more chips, it will result in a second drop, but the volume at this time usually begins to shrink, so that this fall is the best opportunity Jiancang.
If the trend is up or down flat on his way, then before the close of the trend generally has guiding significance. That is, if the broad market is in uptrend when the afternoon to close at the high point of popularity that booming market for the better; the other hand, if the broad market is in decline when the afternoon to close at lows, indicating that sentiment is low, market to the light. If the rally when the afternoon to close at low, or decline when the afternoon to close at the high points, mostly false, will not change its original trend.
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Analysis of late
Late in time, is generally considered the last 15 minutes, in fact long-short from the last 45 minutes, the two sides had already begun secretly fight. If from the last 45 minutes to 35 minutes time was up, the last trend will normally rise in the end. Because the largest number involved in the transaction at this time, when the rally clearly, there will be endless influx of buying pushed indices. On the contrary, if the last 45 minutes to 35 minutes this time down Yao City in general difficult to take a good while.
Especially in the last 30 minutes of great reference value into the broader market at this time if it occurs during a rebound in the fall after U-turn down, 30 minutes late will likely losing streak, highly destructive.
This effect can also be used in late afternoon before the close of the movement's analysis. That is closed from noon, there are 15 ~ 20 minutes before the time of the trend also has guiding role, reference is made to analyze the effects of late. At the operational level, when told that the day would go short in late, we should actively selling in order to avoid the low-opened the next day; When they find out late to the good, may be appropriate to meet the next day opened higher positions.
The duration and intensity of
How long a trend also has guiding significance. T +0 under the bull market (for example, in 1994, 8 September) and the bear market, the general index of every 7 minutes or turn the direction of demonstrating a speculative market in the long-short high intensity of the fighting. The T +1 after the Shanghai stock market continues a trend in the maximum time is 50 minutes. Mainly reflects the duration of the power of the different sides of the long-short. Concrete manifestation of the changes in volume, when the investor is prepared to enter the market, the best choice trend duration of 10 to 15 minutes to enter, as the trend increase in the frequency change means that trading was quite active and is often a big money involved signs, so calmly and out of profit opportunity for a little bigger.
To read the tape's core
To read the tape is the core of real-time rise and fall of the momentum. The so-called momentum, essentially known as "momentum", rising strongly, indicating strong sell-off is intended to buy enough, so potential Strong City; down a strong, indicating lack of buying are determined to sell, so potential weak city.
So, how to determine the size of it momentum? The key is spotted dumping or the next oblique angle. Increases when the elevation angle of depression when the α1 and α2 down the size of which represents the angle up or down when the size of momentum. α1 larger, indicating stronger intention to buy, when α1> 60 degrees, generally belongs to a super-strong; and when α1 is 45 degrees, considered a stable trend; α1 <30 degrees, an inability to up-type, generally followed by from the strong decline. α2 greater, indicating the larger sell-off in the bubble and α2 often as high as 80 degrees or higher; and α2 <30 degrees, generally fell fatigue, resulting likelihood of a strong rebound.
In practice, the trend, it can be according to the continuity of trends to predict future trends, resulting in operation invincible.
1. Signs of decline
Big City in running, often many of the features that fall is about to begin. As a short-term operation, should seek to be sold before the fall starts.
2. Sign up
In practice, both up or down is very fast, and once reached the breakthrough symptoms should be brought forward (or popped), etc. After the break is often too late.
3. Day to determine the strength of
In other words, we have mentioned earlier harbinger of Change may be applied to determine the trend for a long time, the different is merely the starting point and destination must be larger. Analytical skills to master this, then even the Japanese lines, contour analysis.
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