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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
The position is the main market, the biggest secret. Know the secret, for individual investors who like to know where buried gold, and even tantamount to a reservoir in front of the Alibaba shouted: "Open, Sesame."
First, the main position of the principle of Discovery
In reality, people are generally very difficult to Discovery this secret. The main force of this secret can not speak, nor no place to inquire. Some investors hope that the cumulative turnover of a single large disk on the position to calculate the main force, but this approach, in fact, very large discrepancies with the facts. Because, as we know, in order to counter-tracking, the main bargaining chip is often divided into a number of their own copies, as has been the main Yiankeji ever notice, he spent a more than 600 retail accounts, to carry out a stock operations.
Assume that a 10 billion funds to operate on disk. 10 100 million should be considered as relatively large funds, and when it is divided into 100 copies, or be divided into 1,000 copies, it is not so eye-catching. Since even a large 10 billion in funds, if the account distributed in 1000, then each account on the left 1 million, then the disk seen trading volumes, is nothing more than a volume in the household, you the dealer can not find where. That is of particular concern because of all of these large transactions, and have made the main addition of a cheating line method. If you would like to accumulation of the main force, he would deliberately release a large list as a sell-off, make you think that there are big to quit, but he can complete the list with a small accumulation. In turn, mainly on shipping time? Can use single large transaction orders to buy and then spend 10 times the largest single transaction a small deal to sell a single immersion, you get the main point there is no way.
Illusion that many people can make Trader individual to learn the main positions. There are many rumors on the market, but these rumors have quite a big problem. Recall, we really have heard of a main force of shares of listed companies have a rumor, but we have never heard of the main stock in which only lighten up the news. The fact that this market has once again shows that the main message has a stock which is likely to be intentionally leaked, the main exposure to their own positions and public informed of the purpose of the information is the same, nothing more than to the process of its serves to lure you Sedan Chair, even when shipped in its admission to lure the public funds. We might recall a detail, often when we learned the news of a stock when the price of these stocks are generally not low, since these markets are well-informed people can inquire about the position to the main core of the secret, then why in the main period of low accumulation but there is no news came out? During the main ship, but not have access to a warning. It appears that the dealer looking for a self-interest, often hesitate to take their own acquaintances and friends Kaishuan. I have friends with a share of controversy for no less than an hour, my friend said, the dealer himself told him that they (the dealer) is still in the Pearl of the Orient is not only the stock to go, but this time at the crash just before the Pearl of the Orient's most dangerous high on. There are even more funny stories, I have many friends and even the major media editor, editor in chief, these well-known television and newspaper editorial board, often an office, from top to bottom in a full range of stocks, who deceived them ? Interestingly, these large reporter actually still a friend of his bookmakers defense, meaning that his friend had intended to support the market, but unfortunately selling, too, would like to carry also carry do not live.
In this case, how do measure the main positions?
We have a change in thinking. Since the village is so difficult to catch, measure the main force of the position is so difficult, then we may wish to adopt a negative-type approach, we no longer ask the dealer, and we asked small investors: how much stock you have? In addition to the main force of this market is that public investors, retail goods is not in the hands, it must have been the main force of the hands, and vice versa.
So, we asked such a question retail and under what circumstances that you no longer wish to hold a stock it? Unfortunately, this question asked after, my retail friends and did not give me a definite answer, it seems that we have not yet had time to reflect on this problem. So I changed a question is asked: Who are accustomed to profit 30% only then sell the stock? Auditorium of about 1000 or so, only one hand went up. Then ask: Who used to be closed for more than 20% of the profits? At this time there are a dozen people raised their hands. The last question is: Who used to profit 10% to 20% for the stock to sell? Show of hands of people at this time very much. This result and I are very close to the operation of habit. I read his hundreds of Jiaoge Dan, most of the throwing position is 8% to 15% of the profits of this range. This is a very common habit of retail operations. Let us evaluate whether this is cost-effective, but to be such a market fact: that the individual is difficult to float the shares for more than 20% of profits to do, so we have a first principle: do not throw a profit is the main bargaining chip in a chip . Look at some sort of relief plate, individual psychology is generally holding, "profit is restless, deep quilt is unusual calm." Big bear market in the securities business department is basically empty, not to mention the sale of stocks, individual investors are even too lazy to read the tape to see. And when stock prices bottomed out a rebound, investors close to the state get out of trouble, the stock market on the re-active again. When the stock price back to pre-entangle the area near the city caused relatively large volume, indicating investors in these early quilt, once some sort of relief, they have chose to stay on the sidelines.
It is like a scene like this: a group of tourists in the cave's maze of distress, they lost as it has been for several days lost in the intricacy of the cave, dark, cold, hunger and fear surrounded them. At this time, suddenly found a hole, shoot a bunch of incoming sunlight so that they can cheer, which means that they are saved. How they will do? They must quickly escape from this dark place. This is a human. Very few people so romantic: We already saved, then why would I worry away? This is still very memorable experience do, let me live for two days to experience this unforgettable experience of the cave experience. This probably will not be any tourists. So, some sort of relief leave the casual universal code of conduct. However, things are always exceptions, shown in Figure 5-1, a bit puzzling.
Figure 5-1: Founder Technology (600,601 market, information, advice, more) 2001/03/30
Technical Chart stock At first glance, nothing special, the stock fell 20 percent since the peak, then slowly pushed up the original quilt chips gained some sort of relief. From the volume point of view, but also show the trend of heavy volume out of some sort of relief. However, upon careful observation of the stock turnover, we find that it in fact a very low turnover, such as the last one K Line (2001/03/30), its turnover is only 0.43%. Familiar with the turnover of the friends all know that once a stock turnover rate is less than 1%, from time-map observations, little or no stock trading, this situation is technically called immeasurable. Fang Cai we talked about, in general, once the lock-plate has been loosened, the market will emerge out of a sufficient number of some sort of relief sell-off, but the stock at 60% of the chips to obtain some sort of relief conditions, there is no selling pressure created some sort of relief . Why is Founder Technology stock investors so strong? Do they quilt once, repent and not afraid of re-fitted? The Unit followed the trend of opening a mystery. The stock quickly pulled a few days later, apparently hoping to force the main have been ready before the position that these sort of relief not to sell the chips, in fact, the main chips.
This is not difficult to understand, if the main hold more than Liutong Pan more than 50% of the chips, even some sort of relief there is no shipping opportunities. That is why a lot of chips, once thrown, the share price will be re-fall in the main will be faced with re-fitted. Therefore, even if the main wants to go, it must be pulled up a number of shares limit-board, and give ourselves enough to construct a space ship.
This is the stock market is another important principle: some sort of relief not to sell the chips are the main chips.
Retail Zuifan What? Individual investors are not afraid of the stock fell, they fell, holding it wants, a very good mentality. Zuifan is the stock's long-term rise. A month's time, or even two or three months time, while you earn 10%, while you lose 10%, while let you earn 10%, while let you lose 10%, two to three months toss to toss about with me, left to no one can not stand such psychological torture. Therefore, the stock's long-term shocks sideways at the retail level tend to Rennaibuzhu, in a position to throw away the stock - even hid untouchables can not afford to do? So we have a third principle: sideways indelible chips are the main chips.
In this way, we have obtained through individual study to determine the main positions of the three basic principles, these principles can be further used for accurate calculation of the main positions of the technical approach.
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