Category: Money tips Release Date: 2007-04-07
Source: Beijing in the first place
Stocks in rising for seven days after the emergence of a long absence, Thursday callback, the two cities index opened lower after the shock finishing, the final closing slightly lower volume also has a certain degree of atrophy. The beginning of the second bottom is a callback, or just finished covering the gap continues to rise after? Of which contains what kinds of profit opportunities?
Covering the gap as the goal in sight
Thursday triggered the market opened low due to the external surface of the macro-control bad news. Day, the message has a State Council executive meeting to study the surface of the current outstanding problems in economic work, continue to strengthen and improve macro-control, a moderately tight monetary policy steady. State Department's index of economic growth to prevent overheating from relatively fast shift, especially for excess liquidity of the contradictions, demand that the integrated use of financial, taxation and other means to guide and regulate capital flows. This allows the market generally expected to lead to a strong, at the highest level after the speech and ideas, the next is likely to put a specific control measures. Since the day after the opening bell on the market began to slip, such as the abolition of interest rate hike taxes on the grapevine, in the afternoon more and more bearish financial circumstances, the market selling pressure began to rise, eventually rising broader market weakness on several occasions, there has been since the recent for the first time the Green disk at close.
One thing is clear is that stocks in Mashimo straight after, is certainly needed to carry out more fully Xipan change hands in shock. We are concerned that the broader market RSI, KDJ short-term technical indicators such as high passivation has occurred, the index correction is inevitable and callback callback time and amplitude can be expected. Therefore, the short-term market outlook for the broader market turmoil order is not a bad thing.
Sight of the objectives are: Tuesday covering the formation of gapped upward gap. The gap is located in the Shanghai Composite 4073 points to 4102 points of the region Thursday to test a low index of the minimum 4085 points, 4073 points, the distance is only half a step away, but the gap is not fully cover their success, always will be remembered by the short , long before and will not do more vigorously. Moreover, from this year's past history of these unusual gapped by covering the gap are finished sooner or later, so the next market to conquer the goal is to completely cover the gap.
Short-term trend of history to repeat itself for reference
The reality is, the message light side benefit is only the ostensible reason for induced sell-off of its essence, or is it seven days since the broader market near all the way from 3400 to 4100 points, soaring high above the regional market is very substantial accumulated earnings plate, in the coupled with a high pre-lock-plate eager to mitigate this pressure, the two re-selling, the market constitutes a signs of trouble, on a large number of selling. After careful observation of Beijing in the first place, we found that around 2.27 this year and this year the trend is very similar, do not rule out a repeat of the pattern of history may appear: by the end of January this year, 3,000-point index of upside unsuccessfully for 6 days after nearly 500 points, the continuous decline in This is the end of May nearly a thousand-point plunge a high degree of similar; index February 6 single needle bottom after the unilateral increase in the re-emergence of a new high onto the 3,000-point region, triggered by the bad rumors that appeared February 27 in crash , during which the Fund to follow Awkwardness down. But then the market plunged after the proof of this, the emergence of a relatively low level of investors has become a great selling points.
Therefore, the market trend, the most likely choices are two ways: One way is the trend of a high degree of 2.27 before the crash similar to that Friday or next Monday by news of a vacuum, or interest rates, such as the abolition of interest tax is not bad rumors attack since the break, then return to the broader market will rise before the strong trend, short-term continued to rise even create a new record high of 4300 points is not impossible, but then still have to complete the shock down the process of covering 4073-point gap, investors can be covering would then choose the right approach to participate.
And the other a possible trend is that the test of the second bottom support. Index of short-term continuation of Thursday's shock callback pattern, not only fill the gap end, but also a callback to 4,000 points around the area, to repeatedly pass the test of this integer support efforts. We believe that the investors point of view, as long as the gap-covering tape is completed, then this approach is a good chance.
Up in the context of broader market opportunities for endless profit
To define the forward direction of tape can be run from all the different changes in the index to analyze. Although the markets have recognized the reference index Shanghai Composite, but since last year super bull market in this round since the Shenzhengchengzhi has been a leading indicator of function, often to the point differences in key markets, can play a leading pointed out that the tape direction functions. Open the K-line diagram, the Shenzhen Composite Index was the first hit on Tuesday hit a new high, followed by 50 also on the cards, small and medium board index, the fund index can be said that these leading index has been leading the broad market pointed out the way forward, the trend is rising with high turbulence. The simulation of stock index futures traded December contract near the volatility in 5800 (the day of the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index closed at 4075 points), but also unmistakably that the future rise in the medium-term reference target.
In the strong upward against the backdrop of the broader market, we have the choice of target groups, we can start the two aspects of investment and speculation begin: In terms of investment, it should be a thorough insight into the idea of including the Fund's operations, including, in particular, the recent release of new funds-intensive, The Awkwardness of its subsidiary has brought plenty of food and ammunition, those semi-annual performance excellence-than-expected growth in the share price an upward channel, even ahead of record high variety, can be used as aggressive investor concern, the relative gains for the stock price smaller species, it is prudent investor's strategic Jiancang goals.
Speculative varieties, although those who have no performance, no theme, no growth in low-priced trash stocks in the near future or a huge, and in this round of 700 points is also not much of a big rebound in the rebound, but it will definitely be based on the bull market with the logic of large bubbles theory, we believe there is still a considerable part of the funds on this type of popular varieties, these shares fell after the fall, there have been no speculative opportunities. In addition, the emerging new SAR Chengdu-hot, short-term, after finishing in the fall, the explosive market outlook is still relatively full, the second wave of rising offensive worth the wait, this is one of the best speculative hot spots.
On the whole, despite the index is difficult to avoid big shocks, but one of the profit opportunities inherent in it is endless, all kinds of speculative investment funds can be preferred in the current market to find a suitable group to focus on, while bargain-hunting is the best operation strategy.
