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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Source: Bo Star Investments Authors: Zhu Huiling
The recent broad market continues to expand up space, non-ferrous metal comeback, transport facilities plate Qi rising stocks in hot movement of promotion, has been refreshed since the ICBC listing. Short-term point of view, the current channel in the broader market is still rising steadily rising average long the system was arranged that rely on short-term upward trend will continue for a moving average. Present tape is still rising among the five waves, there continue to innovate and high potential. With the broader market hit a new high, above the resistance is also close to the market a more satisfactory operating state is on the rise slowly up the channel.
Recently the market after the listing of ICBC, as the market for its high expectations, the general view that the ICBC listing opened 20 percent higher? About 30%, and directly led Shanghai stock market over the 1850 points or even higher broader market may also be precisely because we are so that after the listing of ICBC in the trend is far beyond the market's expectations, at a slightly higher opening and promote the broader market's high jump more than 10 points shortly after finishing down the day's index has not been listed and the business surged, Zhong Pan has been reported to decline. Institutions may be unwilling, in the three quarterly reports during the period, due to a substantial performance of listed companies increased by 20%, these institutions may be brewing quarterly performance waves, the main launch Sinopec, Air China, China Unicom and bank stocks and other heavyweights to lift index, In the first-line heavyweights take the audience, steel, ports, transportation facilities, strong compensatory growth plates begin brewing market, and promote the index crossed the 1850 points, 1850 points, the regional index is expected to repeated shocks should be asked, after a brief shock, due to the compensatory growth plate current stocks have continued proliferation, tape is still on an ascribed to the requirements of a challenge early in the 11 mid-point of 1900 and even beyond the possibility of this area in order to adjust the main stage to create conditions for transfer. The current stock has been far from this area, in the first-line blue chips to accelerate upward, the second-line blue chips compensatory growth, the intraday profit-taking would be unavoidable, while the organization's goals has been largely achieved, tape may also embarked on a phased adjustment of .
From the time cycle analysis: from the quarter line to see, from the June 2004 adjusted to September 2005, at 65 days K line broader market has experienced 5 65 days, from October 2005 to the present and went 5 65 days, and in November was also the first five 65 days, showing broad market in November is still up cycle, short-term there is still room for further gains. Received a 65K line down the possibility of yin to grow. Meanwhile, the round Quotes since last June's 998-point start to the end of 10 carried out a 17 month rise, has arrived in time window, indicating U.S. stocks up in relatively limited space, if opened in December last year, the calculation upside Quotes , in November of this year also coincides with the rise to run a 13 months period, there is a change in disk requirements. From the wave theory analysis: index since the end of last year to start so far, has been gradually showing up a full 5 wave patterns. And we also insist that since the index continued to rise since early August, can be considered as a whole increased by 5 wave Quotes 5th wave. In theory, the stock hit a new high stage, the entire five wave pattern of the basic tended to the end of the operation. Although the short-term confidence of investors will continue to upgrade and buying the active support, does not exclude the impact of stock index is still capable of 1900 points, in particular, the possibility of even higher point position, but that does not change the current index has been running throughout the five waves shape up the end of the reality of the market as a whole will not have to run patterns pose too many changes. In theory, in the whole 5 wave pattern is completed, the stock will likely start three wave-like movements to adjust. Currently in stock is still running in the fifth wave, the weeks-line since 1558 is currently the second wave, short-term broad market at a high level area, although there continued to rise request, but continued up the space will be limited.
Operation, the bull market there are structural adjustment, the current upward trend in the broader market is still in operation, the market outlook still continue to refresh the possibility of a new high in recent years, but the broader market this year, after rising 60 percent, from the 998-point basis, the index has risen 85% , afternoon to continue upward in space has been very limited, while also increasing the risk of short. Two months before the end of the year, investors remain cautious as well, mainly to preserve the gains, and not every wave Quotes investors can take a good, once the stock-picking mistake may be in the index record high after the loss of short-term adjustment is more Great. Shareholders may still patiently awaiting the arrival of the high points, then rallies to trim out.
