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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Source: Oriental Fortune
Conjecture 1:
Broader market to adjust to an end?
Achieve the probability: 60%
Specific reasons: late yesterday after the stock quickly sell into the market technical adjustments to the pressure began to appear, early today, stock prices quickly retreated, but the adjustment in the broader market indicators support the market shares are very active. Short-term point of view, to accelerate the appreciation of the yuan, Hong Kong stocks continued to record high supported by a good external factors, the broader market will remain high shock repeatedly.
Coping strategies: a huge increase in the short term due to broader market, there will certainly shock adjustments are expected, but caution is still necessary to maintain an appropriate, it may choose an intervention do not yet have performance results are expected next year, the huge growth in small-cap stocks, mid-term investment opportunities for large .
Conjecture 2:
China Life suck "blood"?
Achieve the probability: 40%
Specific reasons: from disk perspective, the market's start with the two banks of great relevance, should survive long ICBC to become the spiritual pillar of the whole, China Life on the broader market was at an early effect of the funds be detached from its the negative effects will be in the fund Shigekura varieties are gradually exposed.
Coping strategies: the rise as a fund-driven market, there is too much short-term market correction is difficult space, short-term operation should also attach great importance to have the potential risk of long-term Ta Kong.
Conjecture 3:
Cement blocks are still outstanding?
Achieve the probability: 50%
Specific reasons: the market Pudie Friday, the venue few hot spots, including the performance of cement blocks are still outstanding, like Fujian, cement and other low-priced varieties continued to soar, from this year's industry position, cement industry is facing a recovery inflection point, many listed companies have a significant sales increase, which is active in cement blocks to create a favorable external environment.
Chart reason: to do more efforts are strong, short-term market outlook is expected to shock after the medium-term direction of the mainstream to do more, be more specific, we might use the opportunity to adjust the positions determined the structure of short-term temporary should not be too heavily loaded.