|
|||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||
Data:
The process of making Section speculation
PLAY speculation of a complete process must include the Jiancang, shock, pulled up, distribution of these essential links, is in practice not so simple, the following detailed description of these aspects on down.
1, Jian-cang Issue
(A) Funding
Very broad source of funds for speculation, first, the securities agency or the Fund's self-funding, and second, known as the Group's associated funds or funds, third, the stock market or other markets such as futures markets, even the hot money in overseas markets. Funding of the hype cycle of nature, determines the amount of money the size of the hype approach. Brokerage funds were relatively stable before the hype is put into a relatively clear-cut plan, in the absence of emergency circumstances, are generally not suddenly divestment. For regulatory and public pressure, the hype of the stocks most of the more moderate trend, have more rhythm, and the market trend to co-ordinate better and generally will not fry very prominent, long and slow Niugu Zhuanggu securities institutions are often masterpiece.
Raising funds or funds associated with the characteristics of individual stocks as opposed to speculation in terms of a great amount of money, its origin and listed companies are often related to interest groups, such as asset restructuring and acquisition related party transactions, or is the listed company itself, or the and track this information to get a group of funds. The cycle of market speculation of such funds is generally not very long, some are not multi-year, and they hype the stocks are very ferocious post-fast. We want to find stocks tend to get rich quick here. Sometimes these funds to speculation and speculation, without any reason and an excuse to a stock symbol as a symbol, such as the previous Jielong Pharmaceutical Co., and Southwest.
Hot money usually only in the broader market has fallen greatly embarrassed the trend is very weak or no down time, then as long as one of the big makers start to take the lead indicators of stocks, these funds will immediately rush into the room or when the sudden significant positive . Rare such funds into the market several times a year, a majority of the market capital of the kind. Sometimes, at moments of danger in the market's sudden Yunkai fog lifted, we are often considered to be "national team" entered the picture, in fact, "national team" is just a clever four two sets of 1000 Bale. Such funds into the market there is no question of stock selection, see what what the looting. The result is a broad market index and the vast majority of individual stocks or a broad based, soared, reversing early weakness. These funds do not stay in the market for a long time, generally up to several weeks, keep coming, swept away. By their patronage of the stocks in the broad market pullback, it is often returned to in-situ or even Powei down, only a minority of the funds will stay PLAY. The future we will not discuss the right of such funds.
(B) stock-picking
Determine the nature and size of the funds of its stock-picking targets. Investment funds are usually the performance of listed companies and growth of first place in pursuit of security, speculation is secondary themes, such as investment funds and securities institutions to pressure some stores. As for the inside information from those directed at a group of finance, the stock selection problem does not exist, they are well prepared, more concerned with is how Jiancang.
Long-term investment funds seeking stable returns, it seldom right stocks PLAY, often the price they deem appropriate, after a certain amount on the purchase, holding for a longer period of time, of course, does not rule out-band operation. Until they are expected to buy the reasons for a reversal may occur at this time could be fought PLAY, both in order to ship as well as to fulfill such stocks often major bookmakers, such as Sichuan Changhong three major Niugu. Lock of long-term funds to buy stocks, even if the buyers that they are not fried is also no lack of people lifting the sedan chair. Some of these funds in order to achieve the level of annual rate of return, regular middle-band speculation, this is also a lot of institutional investors mode of operation. Current assets reorganization plate, sub-IPO plate, plate and self-help production oversold stocks belong to this type of speculation.
The essence of stock picking information on the contest judge and R & D capabilities. In the R & D capabilities of some major securities institutions account for a large advantage, such as Shenyin, Cathay Pacific, the South, Junan and other brokerages, and some investment funds are not weak. Institutional investors research on individual stocks is a very complex and very professional process that requires a longer time-based charges. In short, is "on end touch than sideways," touching on end from the industrial policy, the parent company or the competent department, the company's own managers and management level, to product mix and market potential of such an investigation. Sideways is from home and abroad over the same or similar industries, related industries, and point of view of potential competitors, and so on, to find the best target. The same time, institutional investors, listed companies may also take the initiative to propose a set of rectification program. In the current situation of hot asset reorganization, the number of listed companies have taken the initiative of securities institutions, in particular the underwriters and listed Recommended for asset restructuring program design. Now the scope of institutional investors has been open a lot of stock picking is no longer advocating merit as in previous years, while equal emphasis on growth and themes.
Of course, huge amounts of capital to Ban Cheng big and small funds can also be Bancheng big. Funding covers a relatively large wide tape can be manipulated, you can do whatever they want.
(C) Jiancang
Jiancang the process may be longer or shorter, can be fast or slow. Prior to the Jiancang, bookmakers are always first verified using a variety of ways that the stock is now a major shareholder in the background and status. General rule a position in the longer period to start after the outbreak of the greater intensity, such as the Danyoulongchang Jiancang 8 months post-horses horses difficult to recover. Lagaojiancang majority of the group's funds because of the fundamentals of listed companies, news and intervention, many people I mixed, pre-emptive, it is not so, it can not wait, we are very difficult to grasp such Jiancang only technical analysis or inquire about news.
Stocks are being silently Jiancang the current phase of the movement are mostly unpopular stocks, in relation to its past, a lower price on the box-shaped consolidation, in line with the broader market trend, a small volume. For such stock investors can be as long as the attention, and do not have to intervene, and the dealer more than patience, and sometimes patience is amazing bookmakers. Some stocks simply not making to recruit, will also appear this trend is due to the depth of chips being stuck reasons.
[1] [2] [3] [4] Next Page
Big Niugu in the late banker Jiancang will appear the following characteristics:1. Constitute a significant stock price box, in this box started to increase in the frequency of fluctuations in the stock hit the top of the tank bottom number is greater than the number of times, volume was slightly larger or foxhole-like.
2. Show some of the defensive nature of the next line of lengthening shadow.
3. From a technical analysis point of view, 5, RSI, or 9 KDJ departure from the trend at the end of upward and lateral fluctuations in stock at this time and even fell. K line at the same time during the week over a period of 5 weeks of sideways K-line combination of 5-week RSI or 9-week double bottom or at the end of departure from the KDJ there.
4. Some of the stock market began to spread the news, but the basic price and trading volume did not respond, and sometimes even fell a few days. We can see from the above-mentioned law of 97 years, Changbaijituan, friendly group, Hikuma shares, shares, etc. Stock Tyurin have been tested, 98 years, many of Niugu had such laws. The technology for this phenomenon of a sudden start and timely follow-up and hold the stock for some time, profits will be very easy.
Jiancang price when the dealer stocks a basic principle of choice is at least 50% of the increase in space will enter the original transaction-intensive areas, so as to control them.
Makers of funds always have to explain itself on a certain aspect, so the dealer is willing to maintain the share price quote barbells, Zaikuzailei book is always nice. There is no news to me the operation has little effect, at best, but my Jiancang cost than bargain-hunting, according to sources above the 10% of the disk only, but the authenticity of the message is difficult to determine. When pulled up at the dealer involved in the beginning but safer and more timely and more at the end of the opportunity cost of capital. We are making much faster than the speed of Jiancang, and a few minutes is enough, this is the biggest advantages of small individual investors. Therefore, we do not need to be unrealistically low in order to get the basis of information operations, uncertainty in the situation when the bargain-hunting, regardless of financial security. Makers of the bottom, not the general public, everyone dares to buy the price is not upset, I really dares to buy in the end a few people. Bottomline is that everyone be seen, not copied out. I suggest that the message identified the bottom of the track in time pursuing high Jiancang, so that at least the hearts of bottom line beyond which hung much better than that.
In fact, the latter part of the dealer to enter Jiancang has no escape route, and not do have to do. If the fundamentals then suffered major bad blow for us is as good things, heaven-sent opportunity to make a fortune's chance. Most bookmakers will be intensified in the limelight after a counterattack, it is not difficult to understand the family crazy ST performance, and 96 years, a commentator's article in December, after only six months will be Chaodao broader market 1,500 points on the why.
Lagaojiancang conditions are more this year, big money suddenly reached the certain individual stocks, chasing stock to buy, generally a few days or a few hours to complete the task Jiancang. For such stocks have a simple method to determine share price upside, if the start of the day or the next day the market began to have stock on this rumor, and the version number of the target bit is high, then the dealer's strength is not how kind, just to start to find someone to borrow money on the sedan chair to the market. Such dealer is very slippery, not very clear plan in advance, at any time bugger.
Jiancang the task of the late banker is to maintain price and wait for the right opportunity to launch pulled up. The date is usually the dealer pulled down projections, such as listed companies signed a contract day, mid-year report published annual report to shareholders to convene the General Assembly, Japan and other general information should be pulled up before the release of targets nearby, so out the news is the dealer to ship logo, of course, this refers to the share price gains have been great after. Now appears that most of the information is controlled by the banker, this shortage of examples.
Second, start-up period
Now investors can understand on the disk to the variety of market makers, the means of stage performances, we are able at this stage to strive for timely intervention Zhuanggu, if the judge is correct, our costs can be lower than bankers, but also enjoy a Zuojiao the first time.
(A) Zhencang
Jiancang the number of shares in the target to achieve a banker, after which they started to prepare. Makers of the stocks in the Jiancang period to collect the amount of chips there is no fixed standard, because some of the long-term stock price of the stocks in the low crawl, a large number of chips are deep-set locked, floating chips in limited quantities. The collection of targets bookmakers do not have enough time and patience difficult to accomplish, and sometimes pulled up period will be far greater than the number of collected Jiancang period.
Stock price before you start making last thing we need to do is Zhencang. Zhencang two purposes, first, in order to get rid of those Jiancang into the period with the buyers, reducing upward pressure on the future. Second, in order not to offend every aspect of the relationship between the families to create a final buying opportunity.
Zhencang depend on whether the tape was carried out smoothly, if the trend coincided with broader market callback period, the dealer may be deliberately Zapan to make graphics look down Powei heavy volume, but also deviate from the technical specifications of the previous stage to amend , Zhen Cang time is normally very short, roughly 1 ~ 2 weeks or so. Making a successful cost reduction Jiancang Zhencang can make 3 to 5%.
Zhencang basically fell, if the tape match, the dealer will stock smashed into the investor's stop-loss below the correction box is the median line below the 7 ~ 10%, so that buyers feel that the Unit is involved in errors in the rebound out. Too presumptuous Zapan makers did not dare, for fear of loss picking chips do not come back. This Zapan turnover that the great majority amount of the dealer's own right down the bottom of the firm buying the real bargain-hunting families making the relationship between plate. If we see someone in such great one-time purchase, we should pay close attention, and this person may be a banker father.
A small number of bookmakers will make a modest price on the first red look, and then down pressure, gives the impression that weak rebound in the end, re-down to seek support, graphics may be to build a double-dip, it may test new lows.
Sometimes tape is living well and can not Zapanzhencang, some impatient of market makers, will use "piling" in a way, that is, when the stock price pretty down to earth, generous selling Zachu suddenly a very long lower shadow. This Zapan frequently occurs shortly after the market opened, the following five files then set the visible few hours. To get something done at once, and the relationship between all of the following baskets are filled with gold bars households. Sometimes in large volume near the opening in the daily limit, or who spent time at the close of the last payment. This happens the vast majority of the stock immediately rose, and the short-term gains is not less than 20%. For example, these stocks would not have had, K-line maps many things in Taiwan.
Sometimes the amount is too small because the Jiancang, bookmakers can also cause price shocks set off the trend appeared progressively. At this point, we have the intention of making way with a purely technical analysis still not sure.
(B) to start pulled
Start pulled up to wait for the right time, Zhuang Gu is also waiting to see each other on the same plate are very concerned about the movements of other stocks, because if you choose the right time, often half done, ill-begotten would disrupt the entire layout of the program.
Some bookmakers are always likes to do nothing when the market index jumped to perform. Because the dealer is required to follow suit sought after disc can not be attracted to follow the trend set means that the banker desires to own weight. No hot spots in the tape case, to become able to attract a large number of short-term hot money.
A small number of evil Zhuanggu specialized in large Pandie soared when the broader market steadied after the shipment, such as Ningbo Hualian 96 year trend.
Most of the bookmakers always choose the broader market on an upward trend or is about to begin when the boot pulled up. This phenomenon helps us to judge the broader market trend.
Previous [1] [2] [3] [4] Next Page
Zhuanggu from start to achieve our goals takes place pulled several times, which is often said that there were several bands in each band in the making operation is different.1. Pull away from the Jiancang cost zone
This is the first pulled up to form a rise in the first wave. K-line charts in Japan showed underlying stock from the bottom of a long-term processes, in the weeks to form K line flag, Jiashengliangzeng, weekly trading volume in general can reach the top 5 average weekly trading volume of more than 5 times, this step is all The bookmakers have to do.
Due to a prolonged slump in shares of the sluggish stock price, this time at the beginning of the 1 ~ 2 hours a rare dish to follow suit, instead of selling the above hung out a lot, bookmakers have to do is buy a row, get rid of all the block road selling. This time, the banker is a very lovely, indomitable, death calmly.
The first wave of increase in height at the very beginning investors is difficult to predict, making the goal of the first wave height are often random, long-term stock lying at the end of Xiao-he, when exposed sharp corner, very easy to attract with buying into, in the ensuing period of time, the dealer need only look at the crucial moment Enlightenment from that day are price, 30 and 60 minutes super selling points, an integer bit, and long-term average at more. Sometimes, in order to enlarge the market turnover or attract attention or show of strength, bookmakers often generous to the knock, that is, first hung out selling thousands or tens of thousands of hand after a few minutes or a few pens destroyed.
When the stock price rose to about 20%, the grapevine debut, the rumors of the Unit will be prevalent in the next few days. When investors are always heard conflicting or uncertain news. Believe it or not, stock prices are still rising, as if to tell you it is true that the good news and money-making opportunity. In fact, the timing is controlled news came out, there are special send an announcement of the "banker", who are those well-informed sources, mainly, and making a small circle of people connected. Price starts makers will be exposed to the Ming Chu, and evasion are hiding do not live, simply "legal" use of such resources. News is that another chip maker, bookmakers will not be as "Liberation Army" and rational use of information can reduce the pressure on their own, the market is a gold mine, just look at you would dig.
Some long-term plans of making this point to begin developing their own "market spokesman", select those who have a certain mass-based and capable of a broad spread the message of the people, who may have been kept in the dark, and it may be willing . Makers would spend the cost for these people to establish credibility and give them enough information and market trends with accuracy, they will rise up on the outside say that the callback is absolutely the price difference is like a Midas touch posture. Maintaining an army for a thousand days temporary use of military forces, and now no one really play a role in these time. Certification in the ranks of stock analysts before the plethora of such examples, I believe that the old shareholders will be able to tell a lot of casually, "Chi Cuoyao" case.
While institutional investors such disdain in the atmosphere of deliberately creating a message, but for the rational use of analysts and the media, the ability of public opinion do not have a skill, people have come up is that contrary to the theory of large capital mode of operation summary. In the initial stage of cultivation pulled up to make money with the village demonstration effect is very important. If we can seize this opportunity, but also regarded as a way to survive in the cracks. Some makers failed to a large extent be attributed to too much speculation Xiaojiaziqi, and does not allow others to make money in their own hands. We often say that stinks too much of a stock dealer, buying even after the charge is difficult to see, some of which are stingy banker committed, they want to make a follow-up of each person to trap the day, remember the price of buying someone else clear Chu clear later to the position of certain capital preservation buying your first step to drop it down.
Single and multi-Zhuanggu Zhuanggu height of the first wave pulled there is a difference. Zhuanggu alone is very simple, plan how to do on how to do, as long as no unforeseen circumstances have generally been able to achieve objectives, often also exceeded. Objectives of the zone from the cost price is to rise from the bottom 25 ~ 35%, this time making positions has increased by a maximum number of shares in circulation may be more than 60%. The situation is more complex Zhuanggu, tiring playing the charging things to turn on too much short-term increases might be a traitor, in which each contain the situation, the first wave of margin will be lower. Sometimes even out of days the amount of start-up phase, stock prices rose to a very steep angle, which may be more than a bargaining chip makers in the looting, the future will be gradually adjusted to independent bookmakers, the final dealer cost price is high, often become bad or strong Zhuang Zhuang. Such as Anshan synthesis, boat shares this year, because of the message are more prevalent, and now that some stocks are adjusting to become independent Zhuanggu.
2. Shock consolidation
Following two consecutive pulled up, the banker a sigh of relief, we must think how to make money, but also to find a way to deal with those who follow the trend of the plate. Into the densely traded areas of history before the dealer to look at stock price shock, usually away from the pre-transaction-intensive areas 5 to 10% of the region to make head or consolidation patterns. There are two advantages to do so, first, so that buyers leave early to reduce the future can not be expected to occur at any time sell-off, and second, transaction-intensive areas to defuse the pressure to mitigate future attacks more difficult. In addition, when investors will enter the adjustment on the stock price is expected to also expanding, making the General Assembly at this stage is not the opposite operation, but investors have to cultivate self-confidence judgments on the stock for the future to investors by surprise slap in the face preparation.
Consolidation location of the dealer of choice in general are what investors are generally considered necessary to adjust the position, such as the previous high point, target super selling points, gaps, neckline bit, box along, and so on, in fact, making these locations are not red is not the past, mainly paralysis investors would like to alert fills you feel a very high standard, high and low count very accurately, and the operation of the unit's confidence. Now we are not difficult to understand the chlor-alkali chemicals, and rubber tire dealer level, and shares and the Tibetan sacred river not far behind, hundreds of shares is one's opponent.
In the shock period increase or decrease in the amount of the dealer positions, mainly determined by their follow-up to financial strength and fundamentals of listed companies with the development of the situation, the message everywhere is the biggest characteristic of this period.
Investors at this stage to intervene Zhuanggu the most gullible. After the third wave is the main consolidation Shenglang, which is the textbook on the theory. If in a dogmatic way, right now there are a great part of the Zhuang Gu Sheng Lang may also start the main, and this is making suspense left for us.
Zhuanggu operations from this year's trend, the first wave of launch pulled up higher and higher positions, and sometimes the first wave of increase of more than 100%. Obviously, the dealer started at this location is very beneficial for their shock Xi Pan, if they can successfully sell, then, from the standpoint of the dealer, this time make money fast and easy exit is also relatively easy to do if a fifth wave Yan Sheng Lang as well as on the substantive things have to have the back, such as Major Holders, restructuring, mergers and acquisitions, performance and other theme support, otherwise the book is just good-looking, very difficult out on the opportunity cost of capital in terms of, and uneconomical. At present, some Zhuanggu lighten up being the second wave of consolidation, but also should be noted that the absolute price is not very high for some stocks, at this stage is also great potential for Chuang, since then Hsinchuang Jiancang very fast. Therefore, part of Zhuanggu third wave has yet to launch, but the disk is not bad, gives the impression that consolidation has not yet in place, it does not want to trap the cut, want to go outside, which the dealer can ship the best, not out do one. This Zhuanggu If we suddenly started again hit a new high, the general trend with the truth when you raised the sheep be easier than that.
3. Restarted
Makers of funds, public opinion, boiling up when people wanted to start the third wave. At this stage of market makers, mode of operation, and pulled a view somewhat similar, only be decided according to their own positions pulled up the slope. Position weight pulled up the steep slope, more flat position light, when the dealer is to be considered after the ship pulled out of space. Because of our third wave height and five-wave structure is very familiar with the bookmakers do not have to worry about those who do not follow the trend does not need to deliberately create the message, as long as you can and then build on, and the early news and imagination will be at this stage to fully digest. Makers only need to flow, according to textbooks, it wants to do graphics, because a large number of chips have been locked and the disk is very light, K-line combination of extremely smooth. So we often see Suliang take third wave graphics. At this point the dealer has reached an unprecedented feeling of relaxation and pleasure, with a sub-point higher share price, the dealer's book value is to tens of millions of pace.
Makers manipulation of the stock has reached a level of arbitrary, in order to express themselves often do you play these contrarian move up and the perpetrators of the trick against the wind. Makers of the most fear is that the fundamentals point mutations and other stocks more attractive than they rise themselves out of favor in front of funds to follow suit. With the broader market expansion, stocks surged and quality of optimization, so that some of the original long-Zhuanggu disgrace and forced to become unpopular stocks, weightlifting, in order to ship out forced another brilliant idea, which belongs to the scope of self-help production.
Makers and listed companies at the moment the close ties reached a peak, making the identity of major shareholders of listed companies what it means, even if the dealer can not become the first major shareholders control the company, but is still easy to hack their places, such as Fan Zhang, of which There are many unidentified say no white interests Road disputes. The real substance of the things that can now be finalized, and some listed companies to raise capital investment projects, mutation, and some ups and downs of financial data. Some allotment program to send a foregone conclusion, and some major contracts signed, etc., and making relevant, as long as within the rules of the game, you do what I do, act in harmony with each other, nobody can not do nothing. So when we saw in the newspaper of a listed company have any positive announcement or investment value analysis report, please note that this is the house with you in the showdown, he must be prepared to ship, does not ask you to work together to make a fortune.
Previous [1] [2] [3] [4] Next Page
Individual stocks do not look at broader market speculation, timely intervention strategy for a strong share of these operations is expected by bookmakers to meet a number of profit-oriented investors are eager for the psychological, virtually provide a financing channel for the makers, but also greatly enhanced the dealer speculation passion , the more speculation Zhuanggu higher let them go, the dealer reluctant to leave. Can be said that this year is the maker of the most active and most abundant harvest, PLAY also the most relaxed, the message up to the year of rumors.The current stock market mechanism is imperfect, from the open, just, fair and there is a great distance, one being manipulated and distorted the market, is necessarily a damage to the interests of the majority of participants in the expense of minority interests .
Elements of the operation of the securities market is a listed company, capital and information asymmetry is inevitable capital funds must be benefits or reduce, and this is not unreasonable. The information asymmetry is fully revealed the extent of deformity and the general market, investors will have to pay the price, together with the attack in this asymmetry, investors must first learn to self-protection methods and building a high level of risk awareness. If the listed company is also involved maneuvering of collaborated with public opinion, media coverage coupled with the timing of the "coincidence", then we simply speak of, and I do not know what to do.
3, distribution of shipments
Public opinion first before shipment, with the message again, this sizzling stock. Stock in the media to show his face with increasing frequency, may also have a series of reports, special access, value analysis and the like, the market also began to talk more and more clear and attractive, with the higher stock prices began to give investment one the feeling that you can buy, even if the trap is also not afraid of being followed by what is what. Shares in the small amplitude fluctuations, volume began to enlarge, making quietly shipped.
Makers of the ship are ambivalent, both want to get real money in hand, but also could not bear to lose money-spinner, especially the hard-nurtured Bo silly variety. We may think that PLAY very vigorous, in fact, the dealer more often quietly absorbed, slowly drawing lines, how the wind blows, the dealer swore in my heart every day, "one day I would like to how to how to", when really a little bit Ah Q spirit. From the current market position, PLAY source of funding is not a problem, no place to spend money and not spend a big problem. From a stock pushed up into the village to the costs of making a great effort,
