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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
The so-called bear trap, simply say the market is the mainstream of money trying to short, through the disk has brought out clearly the weak form, will continue to lure investors to the stock market dropped sharply drawn conclusions, and panic selling of market conditions. Recently, rapid deterioration, leading shares have diving, fast straight down, then investors need to beware of bear traps. For the short trap discriminant mainly from news, financial surface, the macro fundamentals, technical analysis and market sentiment, and so a comprehensive analysis of judgments:
First, in the message surface analysis. Funds tend to take advantage of the main advantages of publicity, and create a short atmosphere. Therefore, when investors face when the market constantly bad, but to be cautious. Because it is bad news in a variety of flying under the heavy bombing, the mainstream funds can be easily Jiancang.
Second, from the volume analysis. Bear trap is characterized by the volume on the stock with the continuous decline in the amount of shrinkage can always irregular, sometimes even on the disk will appear measureless measureless air down or crash phenomenon, intraday stocks are not traded is also very active, to investors to create a movement within the foreseeable future Yindie atmosphere. Is precisely in this manufacturing pessimistic atmosphere, the main force can often be easily bargain Jiancang, which constitutes a short trap. (Bargain-hunting can not be blind, to seize the real opportunity!)
Third, from a macro fundamentals analysis. Need to understand the fundamental impact of the policy aspect of broader market factors and the strong macroeconomic fundamentals, the analysis of whether there is substantial negative factors, if the policy background in the stock market there is no substantial short special factors, stock prices are continuing to fall, when relatively easy to form short trap.
4, from a technical morphological analysis. Shorts on traps in the K-line movements are often characterized by a long row Jigen Yinxian plunge through a variety of strong support level, and sometimes accompanied by gapped down the gap in the market panic sparked a chain reaction; in morphological analysis, bear trap often lead to technical forms of Po Wei deliberately, so that investors mistakenly believe that space for a huge fall afternoon, but have thrown their shares so that the main force in the low to undertake a large number of cheap stocks. The technical indicators, technical indicators bear trap will lead to a serious departure from the characteristics of, and not one or two indicators of which deviated from the phenomenon of multiple indicators is often simultaneous departure from the multiple cycles.
5, to analyze the sentiment from the market. Prolonged decline in the stock market will be in the market stuck in the formation of a heavy plate, popular quilt are also constantly being exhausted. However, sentiment in the market are often extremely low moment, just note at the bottom of the stock market is not far away from the real. It is noteworthy that, after a four-year bear market downturn, the index dropped sharply systemic risk is very small, over-looking the empty afternoon, it will inevitably fall into a new bear trap.
