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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Source: Guangzhou Bandung
Abstract: Our estimate is that 12 days inside the tape may have a Xi Pan, will continue to go after the index may rise more sharply Quotes. Investors, the most important thing is to determine what the next phase of the main hot spot? We are the mainstream of funds estimated to be ... ....
Today, a substantial increase in stocks in last Friday on the basis continue to rise. Day index is unilateral, progressive, short little or no resemblance to counterattack carried out. The Shanghai Composite Index rose the final 101 points, the increase rate is 2.69%, Shen Chengzhi the day up 451 points, the increase rate is 3.64%.
Afternoon will be how to continue development?
Our estimate is that 12 days inside the tape may have a Xi Pan, will continue to go after the index may rise more sharply Quotes.
1, today's big city to continue to rise out of a relatively good Quotes.
In news, the past few days, a slight positive. That is, the management issued last week: the state-owned shares of more than 5%, it is necessary for approval. Policy. This market, is also a positive, but the impact is limited.
While the broader market today, out of a relatively strong increase in unilateral Quotes. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 101 points the day, the increase is 2.69%, Shen Chengzhi the day up 451 points, the increase rate is 3.64%.
Hot spots, the last Friday of the brokerage across the board take a good plate, today I will not be able to continue to have a good performance. And substituting 000031 in the food real estate, 00502 real estate in Greenview (both limit-closed blackboard newspaper) as the leading real estate stock plate to 600104 Shanghai Automotive, 600,742 FAW Sihuan (both limit-closed blackboard newspaper) as the leading stock car section, there is a good performance.
Day tape out of a relatively good market, but the biggest problem is the main hot spot or a less obvious, hot plates rising stocks is relatively small.
Second, beware of tape Xipan Quotes within 12 days.
Today, out of the broader market is rising relatively good market, but we feel there is a certain degree of worry.
First, the main increase in the intensity of hot spots is not enough. Today, big city, although there are certain hot spots out, such as the auto sector, real estate section. However, the plate effects were not significant, increase in stocks is still relatively small.
Feeling that this is only a preparatory of the market, rather than the ascending segment. Although the index has been a lot of rise.
Second, the volume is still no obvious amplification. Today, the city of volume 2 is 159.1 billion, while last Friday was 145.3 billion. Today's volume is only magnified a percent or so. But the index has returned to near 3900. This is a turnover of more than 200 billion pre-conditions, there are clear distance. This volume is difficult to support the broad market to rise further.
Third, the market mentality is still very cautious. Although the broader market rebounded sharply for two days, but the market is still very cautious, the market outlook, the forecast to see a rebound and think less reversed. Operational strategy, rallies to trim the more bargain-hunting less suction-na.
In this case, I hope the tape immediately continuous, significant increase is not very realistic.
Therefore, we estimate that 12 days inside index will likely take a Xipan market, the firm does not see an empty wash investors. Then, the tape in order to further increase.
Third, investors operating strategies.
We estimate that the index Xipan market, range is limited, the time may be 12 days. However, Xi Pan on the day would be more frightening momentum.
Investors in the current position, there is no need too impatient, there is no need too afraid of callback, we must patiently wait for an opportunity. The most important, to determine the next phase of market speculation, the main hot spot for that?
Our feeling is that the next phase of the market's main hot plate or a broker, we recommend investors to pay more attention to the trend of the plate.