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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Stock market real, fundamental importance, however, the trend of any stock to run the technical indicators are reflected in what kind of indicators of more ago, is more accurate? After many years of practical experience I found that any single technical indicator has a variety of defects, can not independently judge the big city and individual stocks, a combination of two or more indicators in order to surprise move. China's stock market in the actual combat, I believe that Brin line and deviate from the comparison between the rate of use, can be described as bead joint wall together, accuracy rate above 80%.
Bollinger Bands can be Qian software static analysis technology transfer out, Bollinger Bands constituted by the four lines, divided into B1 line, B2 lines, B3 and B4 lines line. B1 line index (or stock) resistance, B4 line is the support line, from the Bollinger Bands can be seen that the width of the index or stock price range, stock consolidation, the four-line contraction, saying that heal; stock price up or down to break , the four-lane open, called the opening. When the stock price upward B1 puncture resistance line, a selling point appears down the breakdown B4 line, buy some there, when the stock price along the resistance line (support line) up (down), although no breakdown support line (pressure line) However, a breakthrough has been back to B2 line (B3-line) is also a better sell (buy) points.
The index calculations are rather complicated, not to say, shareholders friends from Qian dynamic and static in the redeployment should be pointed out that the dynamics of Boolean line is the three lines, B2B3-line combined for the MB line, mode of operation and the static QIAN the same.
Deviation from the ratio (BIAS) is the most real of the stock market indicators, which are currently only in a static Qian in the redeployment. Deviation from the rate is said that the day index (stocks) and the date of index (stocks) moving average of the gap can be divided into positive and negative deviation from a deviation, do not cap the end of the next can not be maintained. If the share price above the moving average, a deviation from the rate is positive, otherwise is negative, the middle 0 axis, with the price changes, deviation from the rates began to wear the top and bottom of the shaft 0. After many years of experience I found that the rate of 5, a deviation of actual combat in China's stock market the most effective is the degree of deviation from the so-called on the 5th day of index (stocks) and the 5 closing price index (stocks) moving average of the gaps, and accurately reflect the last 5 days who bought profitability, on the 5th is a deviation from the larger short-term profits that the greater the degree of risk increased on the 5th when a deviation of +3 warning zone, strongly sold to +5 or higher; 5, a negative deviation from the more large, said the short-term drop deeper, risk reduction, while a negative deviation from the safe area when reached -3, -5 or less must be resolutely to buy. It is noteworthy that the above very effective in broader market indicators for individual stocks should take into account a profitable ex or unexpected bad news. Positive and negative deviation from the individual stocks in general much larger than the broader market, and sometimes a positive deviation from the even more speculative stocks to reach 50 or more, but fewer such cases. The negative deviation from the recent Sichuan Changhong -32.19 once reached, but that is because 10 to send 6 Ex-making.
Now we will deviate from the combination of real discussion about the interaction rate and confirm the operation of Bollinger Bands is to outperform the broad market.
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Give broader market, for example, broader market since mid-May callback has experienced three large rebound Fang Cai stabilized stabilized, and now we start from early June to use two indicators of specific operations. June 5 broader market rebounded to 1369.51 points, the second high point, at this time Bollinger Bands indicator for the index broke the B2 line, want to try the B1 line, short-term without breaking the B1 line, little risk, but the deviation from the target rate has reached 3.4, made a selling signal, as expected the next day bad introduced, opened 1271.31 points, tape fast-sinking stock index crossed the B2 line, once the breakdown B3 line, selling emerged, this time to ship, too late though it is still profitable, indeed to June 13, tape the more low of 1154 points, compared with June 6 Index opened down 117 points, this time index has been online with in the Bollinger Bands B4 walking on the 3rd. June 13, the index will break B4 opening line, when the index is 1154 points, while the B4 line is 1175 points, Bollinger Bands send a strong buy signal, a deviation from a more up to -4.68, a strong buy signal. At this point the best selling points, the second day Bollinger Bands B4 the end of the line along the walk, across the B3 line, this time Bollinger Bands signal issued by the second best selling points, however, buying at this time, the stock not even close three small Yin Xian, the market began to test two targets, then we find a deviation from the rate is still negative, continue to issue buy signals, Bollinger Bands somewhat passive, but still doggedly running the B3 line, indicating index in the security zone, Sure enough, June 20, stocks began to rebound, to June 23 reached the highest point of 1322 points, compared with June 13 high of 168 points, the lowest point, when index punctured B1 line, B1 line is 1293 points higher than the number of 29 points, Brin-line sell signal issued by the most intense, a deviation from the rate of this time is +3, but also alert signal is issued, but not strongly. At this time selling the best selling point, then indeed experienced a broader market slump. Bollinger Bands index in B4-line on July 2 - 7 Yue and 8 rooms with walk 5 days (the middle of a holiday), Bollinger Bands open down, Whenever the Bollinger Bands when the opening down the stock market index The first break B4 lines. But by no means the best selling points, because of Bollinger Bands is a kind of guide the direction of the opening signal, fell down the opening, upward opening rose, when the potential buyers, point to look at a deviation rate, down to open only to confirm or potential set up. This fall, we should wait after falling 5 deviate from the reversed side is the best time to buy. July 8, 5 rare deviation from the rate fell to a low of -6.36, in the former short-term trading and even created a deviation from the record for the -7, but the index fell refused to deviate from the rate of decline, and this is the end of departure, be Shigekura buying when the market panic, but the deviation from the rate of the following tips are excellent in the -5 buying opportunity, even if the short-term quilt, but also some sort of relief in the short term, this time decisively aggressive investors admission the sharp rebound in stock, if not to grab a 1066-point selling points, when the index picks up again, should also be bought immediately, because at this time deviation from the rate is still below -5, and indeed broader market from July 8 single-day reversal, 1066 points in that time Quotes Outsole
Bollinger Bands use a deviation rate in the short-term operation in the remarkable results, while the two middle movements can also be accurately estimated, since the Shanghai stock market from 1066 points, showing a steady increase in the trend of Bollinger Bands also Li Qigong, respectively, in 7 29 1133 points and 1120 points, August 14 has successfully made the bottom of the instructions. The deviation from the rate from August 18 up in the market since the index was up more than 140 points, though, the highest deviation from the rate had only reached 2.13 deviate from this point of view, the main control tape clearly by the market, people can deviate from the rates in the safety Brin-line area and the relative stability of areas, safe position. However, beginning September 11, the index had crossed the line first B1 and then turn around a downward trend, while the deviation from the rate of rise of the stock market in a continuous walking down, there are top departure from the sign that faces the recent adjustment indicator to: Current profits rich investors may be temporarily out of wait and see until the well-behaved off-line up to -5 or so, when Bollinger Bands break B4 lines may be considered their portfolios ahead of this I believe will be verified in the afternoon Quotes.
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