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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Distinctive characteristics of a wave in order to have a strong effect of the larger plate-level bullish after the broader market is bound to enter a decline trend in the level of the larger. The down trend in this process, the tape If you want to appear at the bottom or the big stage at the end of its necessary and sufficient conditions are: tape must be the acceleration experienced panic down! And this acceleration can not be a broader market decline after the peak for the first time slowly decreasing rapidly accelerating decline. In other words, the speed drop at least should be stocks in decline experienced after the first round, in the broader market conducted stage-resistant sideways, the again the second or third speed down.
The history of (mainly after 1996), with significant higher levels of Quotes plate effects, which one do main? We believe that the main three. The first time was early in 1996 -1997 years in May, Sichuan Changhong, Shenzhen Development Shenzhang Cheng, Luzhou as represented by a merit-plate-based "blue chip stocks Quotes." The second time was in May 1999 - 2001 6 months to small-cap stocks and high-tech stocks refuse represented by high-tech stocks, re-stock Quotes. The third time was the beginning of 2003 -2004 years in April, the automobile, petrochemical, steel, coal, represented by blue chips Quotes.
In the last two after the big move down the process of broad market peaked, in the broader market fell to the bottom of the final before, tend to occur at about 200 an intermediate rally. 8,9 months in 1997 occurred in 2001, took place in the end of October to early December, are basically one and a half's time. In this intermediate rally after the broader market will accelerate the drop down again, and Po Wei, in order to achieve broad market's true bottom!
Decline from the peak of view, early in 1996 -1,997 years, peaked in May after the big move, tape from the highest point of 1510 declined to the lowest point of 1025 points, down 1 / 3 (33%) bottomed out. May 1999 - June 2001 Great Quotes bottomed out, the tape from the highest point of 2245 declined to the lowest point of bottoming out at about 1330-1320, a total dropped by 40%. Quotes peaked at 1783 points this round, if the falling process, we take 33% -40% decline, then the broader market decline in the ultimate goal of bits should be 1070-1190 points, taking the average of 1130 points. Therefore, the broad market decline this year, the ultimate goal of bits is likely to 1130 or thereabouts.
So, what is called "Big Quotes peaked after the fall see the stage at the end of the process or see the big drop before the end of the acceleration?"
Most important feature is that stocks in below the front of the stabilized platform for the media looking on, after starting to accelerate, down to 20 days in two weeks time, the broader market will be falling at about 250-300! ! ! Now that's a bear market decline accelerated in the process of decline.
High foam, highly speculative stock market breeds a huge risk, but every year there are also great opportunities. Only by upholding the concept of correct operation, adhere to the operation of each of Zhizuo wave of thinking in order to remain invincible in the stock market.
