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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Source: Guangzhou Bandung
Abstract: From yesterday, today's disk to see the big board there are clear signs of the completion of a basing Quotes and thus is likely to enter a new segment of the main rise. The key issue is the next stage to determine accurately the main hot spots. Investors operating strategy is to ... ....
Yesterday, out of the index in volatile trading today after the bad: Index Futures launch imminent, under the influence of the Shanghai index test a low one time. After the Shen Chengzhi, driven by broader market to gradually take a good final day on the Shanghai Composite Index rose 21 points, Shen Chengzhi up 150 points.
From yesterday, today's disk to see the big board there are clear signs of the completion of a basing Quotes and thus is likely to enter a new segment of the main rise.
1, the market may have already completed the bottomed Quotes.
Index fell 15 percent in a row, after bottoming out rebounded from a technical standpoint there should be a basing process. From the financial side of view, is the main bargaining chip to re-take its collection of back pressure, only then pulled up again. So, whether it is technical or financial side requires tape to leave a bottomed process.
From the disk of view, are both 23 weeks bottomed Quotes. From a purely technical theoretical analysis, the index there is the possibility of taking the second bottom. But today, stocks in under the influence of bad news, slightly down on the return to the rally. Shows the pressure pullback is not significant. Or, as in the broader market is still strong, the index reversed an opportunity to go a single day is still great. - Low long the buyers for strong, so that in the bottom Quotes unable to leave. In this way, from a technical standpoint, the index bottomed at symbolic prices after the completion of, there may be entering a new round of ascending segment.
Of course, this is the disk from today, we read information. But there is an exception to that situation will arise, that is, tomorrow sudden relatively large bad. Thus a sudden attack on the way to go and then forcing index bottom Quotes. This kind of sudden bad, and we rely on to see the disk is difficult to predict.
Second, the broader market would have accelerated into the characteristics of a new round of ascending segment.
In other words, we judge Quotes of the development will be a new turning point, from its own run to surge in a few days. The reason mainly:
First, from a month, the current tape is still in a very strong uptrend, the recent short-term adjustment has not been able to shake the great bull market basis. Once again this tape upside, the market sentiment will soon be back. Therefore, once into the ascending segment, the market will reproduce the atmosphere of the bull market.
Second, the cycle of relatively large adjustment range, adjust more thorough. Once the index into the main section up there will be retaliatory. This determines the characteristics of its rise would be more fierce.
Third, we judge this time Xi Pan is made the top of Xi Pan. Good-bye to go after the broader market on top of Quotes. Quotes of the characteristics of which is particularly fierce.
Therefore, we estimate that stocks in entering a new segment of the main l, it will have accelerated out of the characteristics of the rise in Quotes.
3, the operation of the key is right next phase of the main hot spot judgments.
We expect to be entering a new master tape ascending. This means that there will be a better index of growth. However, the characteristics of China's stock market is only expected to rise in the broad market can not be profitable, it must accurately determine the main hot spot.
To judge from a few days to see, off the hot plate is a high-quality asset injection, power plate, the media plate.
However:
First, these plates have some time to hype a certain extent, whether they can continue to serve as the main hot spot it, but also how much room for growth?
Second, a further rise in the index means that the major technological gateway to attack, and this group of stocks on the index is not too great, it seems harder and harder to play that role.
Third, a new round of ascending segment, the new owners are generally hot. But also in the broader market has not yet out of the new phase, they would be very silent. At present the hot disk is too exposed. New Main characteristics of hot spots is not symbolic.
We believe that the new masters should have the characteristics of hot spots are:
A, on the index, sentiment has a relatively large impact in order to drive broad market impact of a new high.
B, the current relatively quiet, non-market attention.
We are optimistic about the two super-tape is a specific of these characteristics. However, disk read, but there is no sign of leading shares. Why is this?
Fourth, investors operating strategies.
As we are optimistic and it is proposed that investors are now pending or has held up as the main operational strategies.
In the hot spot, you can also take a step back approach: it implies that the main index came out in paragraph l, the new main hot spots have been fully exposed, the re-operation. In order to ensure the accuracy of the main hot spots to catch.