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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Determine the Zhuanggu There are many ways, such as the observed trend is independent of broad market indexes, observe whether the amount of money in intraday sell-off, and so then. These observations are important, but if the disk's main dormant, then these methods will not be able to spend. In this case, we can also flow through the top 10 changes in the number of shareholders and the shareholding to capture the Zhuanggu marks.
We can see from the list of top 10 tradable shareholders to get a lot of information, such as there are a few funds settled, there Which brokerage Shigekura whether there QFII interest and so on, but it seems not to notice that the circulation through the 10 major shareholders can be found in traces of the main operation. If the 10 major shareholders are all chips are not too many personal accounts, the general circumstances in which such shares are considered to be scattered stock, that is, no main stocks. However, if certain conditions met, then these stocks are still very scattered and there may be one of the main hidden.
If we are in isolation, analysis of the current 10 major shareholders, if we are all holding less than 30 million personal accounts, which really can not determine whether there is the main force. But if we carry out dynamic analysis is not the same. Now listed companies every quarter in circulation before the release of 10 major shareholder, this way, we do have a change every three months, once a top 10 circulation list of shareholders.
Several consecutive quarters of top 10 circulation list of shareholders to control, if there are three or more frequent changes in the number of accounts held, even if each time the number of changes as small as a unit, we can basically conclude that stocks are the main force of this. Its theoretical basis is impossible as long as the main transactions in a quarter of a point is not moving. Once the tape pull Yang Xian, even half-dead main also very hard to resist the impulse pulled up. In this small-scale pulled up during the more general accounts will choose a bargaining chip, so easy to operate, so these top 10 accounts, there may be too passive, the number of holdings will change.
An example here, such as Xinjiang Tianye (600,075), to observe the third quarter of 2004, statements and semi-annual reports of the 10 tradable shareholders, in addition to two funds, the remaining eight individual shareholder's stake has four the number has changed. And its recently published 2004 Annual Report in the top 10 largest shareholders in circulation, another large shareholder with more than the number of changes, which basically can be concluded that the main unit has hidden them. Based on the fundamentals of a stock, its operating performance improved markedly since the second half of last year, this year is expected to enter the ranks of blue-chip stocks. Therefore, the main unit has large potential, it is worth investors to pay more attention to.
Of course, there are objections that the accounts of these changes are likely to remain retail. But we can think of it, the top 10 largest shareholders in circulation, a retail account holders if a few million chips and the number is 20 there are changes, then it shows that transactions carried out in three months. According to experience, the probability is very small, even though there are no more than one account, and we analyze the condition that three or more accounts. In fact, once the current retail market, will no longer sell the stock on its buy back.
Through 10 major shareholders of the change, we can find some hidden the main, but not all of the main can be found in this way, so mathematically, this is a sufficient but not necessary conditions.