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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Broad market decline in a row, after Wednesday rebound, led by a long sigh of relief or troubled people. Change the cycle of the stock market is a matter of fact, we only recognize the laws of the market up or down in order to take the appropriate action strategies.
Change occurs when the market turn around to go through several necessary stages:
1, depressed phase; 2, the rising phase; 3, back crotch period; 4, the main period of l; 5, no l phase; 6, initial or phase; 7, the main or period; 8, rebound phase; 9, at the end or period. Calendar for this process is complete, the same level of 9 Change cycle.
1, depressed phase.
When the market fell sharply after a long, or after the loss of countless people, pessimistic atmosphere of the market, many investors who have no patience lose out to identify Trading volume was light, all kinds of bad flooding is expected in the streets, public opinion almost unanimously bearish on the market at risk the stock prices is a record of its main features.
2, the rising phase.
The bottom of the main features is skeptical about the trend was uncertainty, fluttering忽忽or more or less, high and low points on the shift, a small increase in volume, some of the stock was a strong feature of the majority of stocks traded in narrow ranges, the faltering , hold-up were reluctant to sell at a loss, who is reluctant to throw the market has been a small increase is the main feature.
3, back crotch period.
The market bottomed its own run, the market point of view differences emerged. Long-short confrontation, the market was forced to go back to confirm the bottom of the back crotch trend emerged, with the drop in volume was gradually reduced down to the phenomenon occurs when a strong reluctant sellers, the initial strengthening of the stock began to strengthening the leadership of other similar stocks, the market bear aware has been strengthened to stop sell-off, transfer the sidelines, the market alone can not be returned to a relatively low downside is the characteristics of this phase.
4, the main l period.
Stocks that have gone up, a rose to rise, doubling turnover is still far from back to crotch low, short covering also increased rapidly, up gap frequent, positive there, the market do more passion there, most people have some sort of relief a profit, investors are making a high profit expectations, public opinion, Yicheng one-sided situation, emotions were running roused to action, the market increase in large, long duration of this phase of the technical features.
5, the end of l year.
Rose after a period in history is expected to remain in place in front of the state, there was heavy volume stagflation phenomenon. At this time multi-still have the edge, but the increase in selling pressure on the invisible, people are still reluctant to throw, and even still buying. Started to decrease the amount of the stock rise, fall actually increased, most people have turned a blind eye drop was pulling up after a substantial oscillation, departure from a variety of indicators have emerged. Very risky at this time, some investors shallow sets, but unwilling to leave the flesh, but some sort of relief out of fantasy, Boom-I, and her endoplasmic have been true, is the essence of this phase.
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The first two processes are the development of things to the extreme point to be added, the market has been to high, despite the bull still control the situation, but things have been inclined to one side of the internal mechanism, the market imperceptibly from quantitative to qualitative change into the extremes meet in the process, has burst on the scene decay of the phase, no alternative but to run down, is the so-called hopeless situation.
7, the main down period.
Runs counter to the direction of the main l period, successive gapped down gap, a fall in price increase in volume, the lowest daily close, frequent bad, deflation, and frequent incidents of lawlessness and indiscipline. Most individual investors have been fitted too high to sell at a loss, tears. Eat-rampant, and the strength of a rebound insignificant, multi-main without a trace, Zi Xiang trampled on sight.
8, rebound period.
Speeding down the market after the low crawl indicators in oversold zones, high out who to get in, with a small amount of money a rebound stroke, to while away time. Reverse-wave appears, showing a slight rebound quickly and shaped, short-term rate is the main features of the small. After a sharp decline occurred mainly in.
9, at the end or period.
Market bearish sentiments rampant Jiucheng are bearish, but the market is no longer a substantial decline in the market in the door can Luo magpie, trading was light everywhere sky with one of them die of the phase. But this time, when life is nurtured, so Morinori decline, decline even more health, but in fact true, false is real. Although dead end, it has to be added beyond the extent of depletion of the short side last breath, rising star is born.
This process is running everything extent although may skip a stage, but the overall case. When the analysis come to understand one thing, it always can be divided against each other, the two aspects of interdependence, when the analysis of a rise or fall cycle usually occurs from weak strengthened by the strong to very strong, then weakened to the extreme weak cycle. Such as the Taoist Tai Chi diagram, reveals everything Allelopathy nature. Weak, that is strong, strong, that is weak.
When the market is low-cost areas, the trend has been very weak nature of forcing pregnant with the birth, and then gradually switch from weak to strong, further strengthened, until the very strong, despite a few relapses, but this is the only way the trend to switch from the dull as lively, and then speed up the rise, is the strong rise in the external appearance, until into the super-state in favor of weak health.
Just as a part of our human life journey from the birth of naive weak start to grow from infants, children, youth, like, the middle-aged, old age, from weak to strong, from strong to weak life-cycle.
This cycle of price and quantity of the cycle of co-ordination, weak and quantity of hours that a very weak state, easy to form the bottom end of the market mechanism in the down volume is small, said the selling pressure will do, with large volume and has been for some time to rise, the strong coupled with the conditions of the state of immeasurable - a very strong state, easily become the top. Co-ordination with the Change loop to determine the market in a certain state of the process, facilitate better analysis and operation.
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