Category: Money tips Release Date: 2006-02-27
Every holiday rest, is holding cash at hand, or holding the market is always debated topic. Similarly, as the Chinese New Year holidays approaching, having a stagnant unilateral Zhangsheng 17% again when it is just leave, or holding festivals have become the most ordinary investors, "Liushenwuzhu" things. Insincere and operation of such a decision should be the best way is: floor confused and watch off; Quotes confused, look at strategy.
How can winning strategy group? The current period of the stock market for investors in the territory of the past two weeks finally point "proud" feeling. Because, in the bullish sentiments, but outside of the stock market plunge would cause a panic. If we can get rid of thinking inside the locality in order to "jump out of Three Realms outside" perspective, from the share reform started in the process of internationalization of the stock market has been an unprecedented acceleration of the stock market outside the "butterfly effect" is likely to have recently been refused adjustment of the stock market to find a timely adjustments to the "excuse" or opportunity.
The so-called "butterfly effect" to the effect that: a South American rain forest in the Amazon River Basin butterflies, occasionally flap their wings a few may be two weeks after the United States caused by a tornado in Texas. Fall outside the stock market panic, it is because of the emergence of the "butterfly effect." First, Japan's stock market to a "Livedoor incident", leading to international paralyzed the Japanese stock market, the formation of panic effects of this event constitutes a "butterfly wings incitement" in Europe and the United States stock market stretch further. "Another butterfly wings" is the world's financial empire, known as the President of the U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan will officially step down January 31. Meanwhile, the international financial market forecast the Fed will January 31 of this year's regular meeting will again raise interest rates in the next regular meeting on March 28 is likely to continue to raise short-term interest rates. In the "butterfly wings" incitement, the Japanese stock market plummeted a row, the New York stock market, the London stock market, the Hong Kong stock market crash turns, "butterfly effect" arising from the aftermath of the shock when it will calm down? Hold your breath.
If the "Butterfly Effect" to the Chinese New Year holiday period with the investment strategy, operational strategy will gradually clear up:
(1) Although the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market on adhering to strong inertia remain strong, but there are 1 day Spring Festival holiday will be a result of the suspension seven trading days, if during this period, the offshore market, "butterfly wings" to continue fueling the flip rain, after the Spring Festival in the stock market of the stock market will likely be the product of its cumulative effect or effects.
(2) Quotes in the stock market is currently mainly driven by strong resource stocks and nonferrous metal shares to support such a breakthrough in stock prices soared because of significant factors are the same siren song of international commodity futures prices. Whether it is oil, or copper, aluminum, zinc and other international futures prices are clearly in a strong sprint at present stage, if the Spring Festival holiday, such international commodity futures prices pause after sprint through the fast, or callback, the corresponding shares of the stock market would likely soon after the holidays in one step and fall.
(3) Under the rules, all the early warning, Pre-losing, pre-announcement by the disclosure must be completed in January, the last trading day of this month is 25 days after the close on the 25th if a large number of cyclical industry stocks, and achievements Poor shares, a loss of stock notice disclosed the impact of their Quotes will produce after the Lunar New Year holiday.
(4) From the valuation point of view, the constituent stocks of the Central African G shares about 13 times price-earnings ratio, G Unit is about 16 times, the early expectations have been too pessimistic basically been amended, the current valuation levels are at a more reasonable range. Lunar New Year holidays when the G-Unit will have to face a rather awkward situation: look to the future, as compared with non-G stocks without the right price support; backward-looking, with old and new compared to draw up the rear of the tradable shares, not have any advantage.
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Therefore, having a temporary hesitation, if one was to play down some of the subjective bullish or bearish sentiment, as well as stick plate potential short-sighted as to the most reasonable strategy for starting, operating on many of the answers will be clear.
